VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
12.09.2026 23:00

Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Puerto Cabello Win 69.3%
Draw 4.5%
Carabobo FC Win 26.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puerto Cabello1.17
Carabobo FC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello
WWDLW
41 GF / 29 GA
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
WLDWL
48 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
18
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 31 matches
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 32 matches
Puerto Cabello Statistic Carabobo FC
14 Wins 14
9 Draws 11
8 Losses 7
41 Goals For 48
29 Goals Against 30
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
18 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 13
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 4
0 Total Shots 13.75
0 Corners 5
0% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Carabobo FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Puerto Cabello expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Carabobo FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Carabobo FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Puerto Cabello Analysis

Puerto Cabello come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 32 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 28:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Carabobo FC Analysis

Carabobo FC sit 8 with 30 points after 21 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 31:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Puerto Cabello 4-3-3 / Carabobo FC 4-2-3-1

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 33:18 15 44
W W D W L
2 21 12 7 2 34:15 19 43
W D L W W
3 21 13 4 4 36:21 15 43
W W D L W
4 21 8 9 4 30:20 10 33
D D D D W
5 21 8 8 5 28:19 9 32
D D W D W
6 21 9 5 7 29:27 2 32
L D W D W
7 21 9 4 8 32:30 2 31
D D W L L
8 21 7 9 5 31:21 10 30
W L D D W
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 21 6 7 8 22:29 -7 25
D L D W L
11 21 6 2 13 24:42 -18 20
L W L L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 21 3 4 14 20:41 -21 13
L L L D L
14 21 2 5 14 16:38 -22 11
L L W D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2