VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
06.09.2026 20:00

Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Puerto Cabello Win 55%
Draw 8.7%
Carabobo FC Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Puerto Cabello1.21
Carabobo FC1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello
WWDLW
41 GF / 29 GA
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
WLDWL
47 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.52
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
18
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 30 matches
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 31 matches
Puerto Cabello Statistic Carabobo FC
14 Wins 13
8 Draws 11
8 Losses 7
41 Goals For 47
29 Goals Against 30
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
18 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 12
3 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 4
0 Total Shots 13.75
0 Corners 5
0% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Carabobo FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Carabobo FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Puerto Cabello Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Puerto Cabello have collected 17 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:14 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Carabobo FC Analysis

Carabobo FC sit 7 with 19 points after 13 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, while the 23:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Cabello won 2 times, Carabobo FC won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:21 from Puerto Cabello's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Puerto Cabello 4-3-3 / Carabobo FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Puerto Cabello wins 2, draws 5, Carabobo FC wins 8

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 22 12 7 3 34:17 17 43
L W D L W
3 22 13 4 5 36:23 13 43
L W W D L
4 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
5 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
6 22 10 4 8 34:30 4 34
W D D W L
7 22 8 9 5 33:21 12 33
W W L D D
8 22 8 8 6 28:21 7 32
L D D W D
9 22 5 10 7 23:27 -4 25
L W D D D
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 24:34 -10 21
W L W L D
12 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 22 3 4 15 20:43 -23 13
L L L L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2