Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Progreso Win 0%
Draw 0%
La Luz Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso0.88
La Luz1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Progreso
WWDLW
10 GF / 10 GA
La Luz
WLDWL
19 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.58
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
4
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Progreso
11 matches
La Luz
12 matches
| Progreso | Statistic | La Luz |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 9 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 10 | Goals For | 19 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.83 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 0 times, La Luz won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Progreso's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Progreso 4-2-3-1 / La Luz -
H2H summary: Progreso wins 0, draws 1, La Luz wins 2
Last matches: Progreso
23.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
Last matches: La Luz
23.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
0
2
L
16.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Colón
1
2
L
08.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
01.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Rentistas
2
5
L
26.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Miramar
1
0
W
13.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
28.06.26
Seg
La Luz
CA River Plate
0
0
D
21.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
2
0
W
14.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
0
4
L
06.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Paysandu
1
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
24.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
2
0
W
17.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
0
0
D
09.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Colón
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
0
0
D
11.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
2
1
W
28.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
2
2
D
22.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
H2H: Progreso vs La Luz
28.08.22
H2H
La Luz
Progreso
1
1
D
05.06.22
H2H
Progreso
La Luz
2
4
L
20.03.22
H2H
La Luz
Progreso
1
0
L
Last matches: Progreso
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
3
L
01.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
19.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
2
3
L
05.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
2
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Miramar
3
2
W
24.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
W
09.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
1
2
L
29.11.23
Seg
Progreso
Albion FC
3
2
W
H2H at home: Progreso
05.06.22
H2H
Progreso
La Luz
2
4
L
Last matches: La Luz
16.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Colón
1
2
L
08.08.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
26.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Miramar
1
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
La Luz
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
28.06.26
Seg
La Luz
CA River Plate
0
0
D
14.06.26
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
0
4
L
31.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
0
0
D
22.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
0
0
D
17.03.26
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
26.10.25
Seg
La Luz
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
11.10.25
Seg
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
0
0
D
27.09.25
Seg
La Luz
Fenix
2
0
W
13.09.25
Seg
La Luz
Atenas
3
2
W
30.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
20.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Artigas
1
1
D
16.08.25
Seg
La Luz
Cerrito
0
1
L
26.07.25
Seg
La Luz
Oriental
2
2
D
13.07.25
Seg
La Luz
Albion FC
0
3
L
H2H away: La Luz
05.06.22
H2H
Progreso
La Luz
2
4
W