Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
73.2%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | No |
65.8%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
1.53 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
6.50 |
Progreso
Danubio
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Progreso
25 matches
Danubio
25 matches
| Progreso | Statistic | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 12 |
| 17 | Losses | 9 |
| 18 | Goals For | 22 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 0.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Danubio. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Progreso have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Progreso approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 16 points from 24 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 18:37, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Danubio approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 23 points from 24 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 9 defeats with a 22:31 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 6 times, Danubio won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Progreso's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Central Espanol
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Cerro
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Juventud
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Central Espanol
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Miramar
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Albion FC
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Danubio
Away
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Progreso
Home
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|