21.02.2026 23:30
Parque Abraham Paladino
Referee: G. Tejera
Progreso
Match Timeline
Club Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
F. Andueza
Progreso
🟨
45+2'
S. Cardozo Coitinho
Progreso
⚽
45'
J. Millan
Club Nacional
🔄
46'
S. Viera ↔ N. Fernandez
Progreso
🔄
69'
T. Veron ↔ B. Barcia
Club Nacional
🔄
69'
R. Martinez ↔ N. Lodeiro
Club Nacional
🟨
70'
S. Cardozo Coitinho
Progreso
🟥
70'
S. Cardozo Coitinho
Progreso
🟥
72'
L. Rocco
Progreso
🔄
79'
D. Sanchez ↔ M. Copelotti
Progreso
VAR
81'
Club Nacional
Club Nacional
🔄
83'
L. Boggio ↔ A. Dos Santos
Club Nacional
🔄
83'
M. Silvera ↔ N. Lopez
Club Nacional
🔄
85'
A. Colombino ↔ G. Silva
Progreso
🔄
85'
F. De Leon ↔ J. Rivero
Progreso
🟨
90+4'
A. Pinheiro
Progreso
🔄
90'
F. Kidd ↔ I. Lemmo
Progreso
🔄
90'
M. Gomez ↔ G. Carneiro
Club Nacional

Progreso vs Club Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Progreso Win 0%
Draw 0%
Club Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Progreso0.4
Club Nacional1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Progreso Progreso
WWDLW
0 GF / 5 GA
Club Nacional Club Nacional
WLDWL
3 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
0
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
0
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Progreso Progreso 2 matches
Club Nacional Club Nacional 2 matches
Progreso Statistic Club Nacional
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
0 Goals For 3
5 Goals Against 2
0 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
0 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 1 times, Club Nacional won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:28 from Progreso's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Progreso 5-3-2 / Club Nacional 4-4-2
H2H summary: Progreso wins 1, draws 2, Club Nacional wins 12

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 18 5 6 48:24 24 58
W W W W L
2 30 16 7 7 46:27 19 55
W W L W L
3 29 16 5 8 51:34 17 53
L W W W W
4 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
L D W L W
5 30 15 4 11 45:38 7 49
W W D D W
6 30 13 8 9 38:36 2 47
W D D L W
7 30 12 10 8 39:28 11 46
W D L W D
8 30 10 8 12 32:39 -7 38
L L D D L
9 30 9 9 12 35:39 -4 36
D W D D W
10 30 8 11 11 26:33 -7 35
W L W D L
11 30 9 7 14 38:40 -2 34
L L L L L
12 30 8 9 13 28:34 -6 33
L L D L D
13 30 9 6 15 23:43 -20 33
D L W W D
14 30 8 6 16 29:42 -13 30
L L L L D
15 30 8 4 18 25:43 -18 28
W W L W W
16 30 4 14 12 24:39 -15 26
L D D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)