Progreso vs Cerro Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
66.2%
|
1.53 | |
| BTTS | No |
56%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
1.52 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
1.31 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
7.50 |
Progreso
Cerro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Progreso
27 matches
Cerro
27 matches
| Progreso | Statistic | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 17 | Losses | 14 |
| 20 | Goals For | 19 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.7 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Progreso expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cerro in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cerro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Progreso have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Progreso sit 16 with 22 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 20:38 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 29 points from 27 games and a place of 14, Cerro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 19:40 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Progreso won 3 times, Cerro won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Progreso's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 35:22 | 13 | 52 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41:21 | 20 | 50 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 49 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 47 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36:24 | 12 | 42 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 35:32 | 3 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 32 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 31 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Cerro
Away
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 19:40 | -21 | 29 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 15 | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Progreso
Home
|
27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20:38 | -18 | 22 |
W
W
L
L
L
|