GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
25.04.2026 11:00
Preussenstadion
Referee: S. Stegemann
Preußen Münster
Match Timeline
Arminia Bielefeld
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Y. Bouchama
Preußen Münster
11'
T. Momuluh · Assist: T. Handwerker
Arminia Bielefeld
16'
R. Uldrikis · Assist: T. Handwerker
Arminia Bielefeld
🟨
23'
Marvin Schulz
Preußen Münster
34'
M. Corboz · Assist: R. Uldrikis
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
46'
M. Kirkeskov ↔ J. Mees
Preußen Münster
🔄
46'
M. Schulz ↔ S. Yamada
Preußen Münster
🟨
54'
Rico Preissinger
Preußen Münster
🔄
58'
R. Preissinger ↔ T. Paetow
Preußen Münster
🟨
69'
Jannis Heuer
Preußen Münster
🔄
73'
J. Heuer ↔ L. Lokotsch
Preußen Münster
🔄
74'
J. Grodowski ↔ M. Worl
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
75'
T. Momuluh ↔ N. Sarenren Bazee
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
81'
R. Uldrikis ↔ S. Telalovic
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
81'
S. Russo ↔ M. Grosser
Arminia Bielefeld
🔄
86'
J. Hendrix ↔ O. Batista Meier
Preußen Münster
86'
M. Grosser
Preußen Münster
🔄
90+4'
J. Rochelt ↔ S. Schreck
Arminia Bielefeld

Preußen Münster vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Preußen Münster Win 36.9%
Draw 23.8%
Arminia Bielefeld Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Preußen Münster1.24
Arminia Bielefeld1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Preußen Münster Preußen Münster
WWDLW
32 GF / 51 GA
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
WLDWL
43 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
21
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
16
3.83
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 30 matches
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 30 matches
Preußen Münster Statistic Arminia Bielefeld
6 Wins 8
10 Draws 8
14 Losses 14
32 Goals For 43
51 Goals Against 45
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
21 BTTS Yes 19
24 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 6
3.83 Shots On Goal 4.4
11.7 Total Shots 14.63
4.03 Corners 6.13
53.2% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Preußen Münster expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Arminia Bielefeld in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arminia Bielefeld having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Preußen Münster have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Arminia Bielefeld.

Preußen Münster Analysis

Preußen Münster approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 28 points from 30 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 31:47, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Etienne Amenyido (6 goals), Oliver Batista Meier (6 goals), Jannis Heuer (4 goals), with creative support from Oliver Batista Meier (4 assists), Jano ter Horst (3 assists), Jorrit Hendrix (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arminia Bielefeld Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld sit 17 with 32 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 42:44, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Joel Grodowski (9 goals), Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee (5 goals), Tim Handwerker (4 goals), with creative support from Tim Handwerker (5 assists), Monju Momuluh (5 assists), Mael Corboz (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Preußen Münster won 4 times, Arminia Bielefeld won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Preußen Münster's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
Predicted formations: Preußen Münster 3-5-2 / Arminia Bielefeld 4-3-3
H2H summary: Preußen Münster wins 4, draws 3, Arminia Bielefeld wins 3

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga