Preston vs Millwall Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.9%
|
2.47 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
1.85 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.2%
|
1.07 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.50 |
Preston
Millwall
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Preston
14 matches
Millwall
14 matches
| Preston | Statistic | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 11 | Losses | 6 |
| 16 | Goals For | 20 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.13 | Shots On Goal | 4.13 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 15 |
| 5.25 | Corners | 4.38 |
| 43.5% | Ball Possession | 44% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Millwall. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Preston have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Millwall carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 11 points while Preston sit 23 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Preston expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Millwall in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Millwall having the stronger overall control.
Preston sit 23 with 4 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 8:15, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Lang (3 goals), J. Kenny (2 goals), J. Erabi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Thompson (1 assists), A. Vukčević (1 assists), D. Burgzorg (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Millwall sit 11 with 11 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Dykes (4 goals), T. Arconte (3 goals), C. Neghli (2 goals), with creative support from C. Neghli (2 assists), Jenson Metcalfe (2 assists), L. Dykes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Preston won 1 times, Millwall won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:23 from Preston's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 15 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 |
Millwall
Away
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 |
Preston
Home
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|