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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
10.10.2026 14:00
Deepdale Stadium
Referee: Ben Speedie

Preston vs Millwall Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.9%
Odds 2.47
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.9%
2.47 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.85 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.2%
1.07 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Preston Win 20.1%
Draw 21%
Millwall Win 58.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Preston1.28
Millwall1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Preston Preston
WWDLW
16 GF / 27 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
9
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
9
3.13
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Preston Preston 14 matches
Millwall Millwall 14 matches
Preston Statistic Millwall
2 Wins 5
1 Draws 3
11 Losses 6
16 Goals For 20
27 Goals Against 21
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
9 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 3
3.13 Shots On Goal 4.13
13 Total Shots 15
5.25 Corners 4.38
43.5% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Millwall. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Preston have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Millwall carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 11 points while Preston sit 23 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Preston expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Millwall in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Millwall having the stronger overall control.

Preston Analysis

Preston sit 23 with 4 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 8:15, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Lang (3 goals), J. Kenny (2 goals), J. Erabi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Thompson (1 assists), A. Vukčević (1 assists), D. Burgzorg (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Millwall Analysis

Millwall sit 11 with 11 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Dykes (4 goals), T. Arconte (3 goals), C. Neghli (2 goals), with creative support from C. Neghli (2 assists), Jenson Metcalfe (2 assists), L. Dykes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Preston won 1 times, Millwall won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:23 from Preston's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (80%)
Predicted formations: Preston 5-3-2 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Preston 3, Millwall 7
H2H summary: Preston wins 1, draws 6, Millwall wins 8

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One