BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Do Manduzao
Pouso Alegre
Match Timeline
Portuguesa RJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
Lohan
Portuguesa RJ
🟥
33'
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa RJ
49'
Juninho
Portuguesa RJ

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pouso Alegre Win 54.3%
Draw 7.4%
Portuguesa RJ Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pouso Alegre0.77
Portuguesa RJ1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre
WWDLW
5 GF / 7 GA
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ
WLDWL
9 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
0
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre 6 matches
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 6 matches
Pouso Alegre Statistic Portuguesa RJ
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 1
5 Goals For 9
7 Goals Against 4
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
0 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Portuguesa RJ's more proactive style and Pouso Alegre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Portuguesa RJ having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Portuguesa RJ. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Pouso Alegre have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Pouso Alegre Analysis

Pouso Alegre approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 7 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Michael Paulista (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Portuguesa RJ Analysis

Portuguesa RJ come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 9 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 9:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Lohan (4 goals), Matheus Iacovelli (3 goals), Anderson Rosa (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Pouso Alegre won 0 times, Portuguesa RJ won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Pouso Alegre's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
H2H summary: Pouso Alegre wins 0, draws 0, Portuguesa RJ wins 2
Last matches: Pouso Alegre
06.06.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Porto Vitória
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Boavista SC
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
2
0
W
04.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
17.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
12.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
3
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
H2H: Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa RJ
16.05.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
26.04.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
L
Last matches: Pouso Alegre
30.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Boavista SC
2
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
2
0
W
31.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Porto Vitória
1
1
D
H2H at home: Pouso Alegre
16.05.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
3
1
W
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
0
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
4
0
W
H2H away: Portuguesa RJ
16.05.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)