BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Do Manduzao
Pouso Alegre
Match Timeline
Portuguesa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
Dudu
Pouso Alegre
64'
Matheus Cadorini
Portuguesa
66'
Eric Botteghin
Portuguesa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
68.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pouso Alegre Win 38.9%
Draw 17.1%
Portuguesa Win 44%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pouso Alegre0.63
Portuguesa1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre
WWDLW
5 GF / 11 GA
Portuguesa Portuguesa
WLDWL
12 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
0
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre 8 matches
Portuguesa Portuguesa 8 matches
Pouso Alegre Statistic Portuguesa
2 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
5 Losses 1
5 Goals For 12
11 Goals Against 5
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
0 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Portuguesa's more proactive style and Pouso Alegre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Portuguesa. Pouso Alegre have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Portuguesa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 12 points while Pouso Alegre sit 6 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Portuguesa having the stronger overall control.

Pouso Alegre Analysis

Pouso Alegre sit 6 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Michael Paulista (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Portuguesa Analysis

Portuguesa arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 12 points after 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Lohan (5 goals), Matheus Iacovelli (3 goals), Matheus Cadorini (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Pouso Alegre won 1 times, Portuguesa won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Pouso Alegre's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
H2H summary: Pouso Alegre wins 1, draws 0, Portuguesa wins 3
Last matches: Pouso Alegre
06.06.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Porto Vitória
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Boavista SC
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
2
0
W
04.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
17.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
Last matches: Portuguesa
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
27.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
4
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
H2H: Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa
30.05.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
11.04.26
H2H
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
3
0
L
14.06.25
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
2
0
W
24.05.25
H2H
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
L
Last matches: Pouso Alegre
16.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Boavista SC
2
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
2
0
W
31.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Porto Vitória
1
1
D
H2H at home: Pouso Alegre
30.05.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
14.06.25
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
2
0
W
Last matches: Portuguesa
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
02.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
31.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
17.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Porto Vitória
3
1
W
04.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
2
L
19.04.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
2
2
D
H2H away: Portuguesa
30.05.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
W
14.06.25
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
2
0
L