BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Do Manduzao
Pouso Alegre
Match Timeline
América RJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Michael Paulista
Pouso Alegre
50'
Michael Paulista
Pouso Alegre
54'
M. Caua de Aguiar Alves
Pouso Alegre

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pouso Alegre Win 60.5%
Draw 11.2%
América RJ Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pouso Alegre1.12
América RJ1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre
WWDLW
2 GF / 7 GA
América RJ América RJ
WLDWL
4 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.4
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
0
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre 5 matches
América RJ América RJ 5 matches
Pouso Alegre Statistic América RJ
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
2 Goals For 4
7 Goals Against 11
0.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
0 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward América RJ. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Pouso Alegre have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward América RJ having the stronger overall control.

Pouso Alegre Analysis

Pouso Alegre approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 4 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 2:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gabriel Tota (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

América RJ Analysis

América RJ come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 5 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 4:11 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Capanema Werley (1 goals), Emerson Carioca (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Pouso Alegre won 1 times, América RJ won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Pouso Alegre's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
H2H summary: Pouso Alegre wins 1, draws 1, América RJ wins 0
Last matches: Pouso Alegre
06.06.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Porto Vitória
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Boavista SC
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
2
0
W
04.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
17.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
Last matches: América RJ
27.06.26
Ser
América RJ
XV de Piracicaba
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
América RJ
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
América RJ
Água Santa
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa
1
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Madureira
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Pouso Alegre
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Madureira
3
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
0
4
L
04.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Água Santa
0
4
L
H2H: Pouso Alegre vs América RJ
09.05.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
3
0
W
02.05.26
H2H
América RJ
Pouso Alegre
0
0
D
Last matches: Pouso Alegre
30.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Boavista SC
2
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
2
0
W
31.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Porto Vitória
1
1
D
H2H at home: Pouso Alegre
09.05.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
3
0
W
Last matches: América RJ
27.06.26
Ser
América RJ
XV de Piracicaba
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa
1
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Madureira
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Água Santa
0
4
L
H2H away: América RJ
09.05.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
3
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)