BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Do Manduzao
Pouso Alegre
Match Timeline
Água Santa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
Levi
Água Santa
90'
Villian Guilherme
Água Santa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 53.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
53.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Pouso Alegre Win 63.7%
Draw 13.1%
Água Santa Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pouso Alegre1.2
Água Santa2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre
WWDLW
2 GF / 3 GA
Água Santa Água Santa
WLDWL
5 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
0
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre 2 matches
Água Santa Água Santa 2 matches
Pouso Alegre Statistic Água Santa
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
2 Goals For 5
3 Goals Against 3
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
0 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Água Santa's more proactive style and Pouso Alegre's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Água Santa. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Água Santa having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Pouso Alegre Analysis

Pouso Alegre arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 3 points after 2 matches. The record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 2:3 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Tota (1 goals), T. Rubim (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Água Santa Analysis

Placed 3 with 3 points from 2 outings, Água Santa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 5:3 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavinho (2 goals), Cesinha Belli (1 goals), Roger Fellipo (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Pouso Alegre won 1 times, Água Santa won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:9 from Pouso Alegre's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
H2H summary: Pouso Alegre wins 1, draws 1, Água Santa wins 4
Last matches: Pouso Alegre
06.06.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Porto Vitória
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Boavista SC
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
2
0
W
04.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
17.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
Last matches: Água Santa
27.06.26
Ser
Água Santa
Velo Clube
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Água Santa
Velo Clube
0
0
D
06.06.26
Ser
Água Santa
América RJ
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Madureira
4
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa RJ
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Água Santa
Madureira
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Água Santa
América RJ
4
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Água Santa
Ceilândia
0
1
L
02.08.25
Ser
Água Santa
Ceilândia
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Nova Iguaçu
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa
1
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Porto Vitória
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Água Santa
Rio Branco ES
2
3
L
14.06.25
Ser
Água Santa
Boavista SC
2
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Água Santa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
H2H: Pouso Alegre vs Água Santa
23.05.26
H2H
Água Santa
Pouso Alegre
2
0
L
18.04.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
26.07.25
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
19.04.25
H2H
Água Santa
Pouso Alegre
2
3
W
17.06.24
H2H
Água Santa
Pouso Alegre
1
0
L
02.06.24
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
0
D
Last matches: Pouso Alegre
30.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
América RJ
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Madureira
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Boavista SC
2
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa
2
0
W
31.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Rio Branco ES
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Pouso Alegre
Porto Vitória
1
1
D
H2H at home: Pouso Alegre
18.04.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
26.07.25
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
L
02.06.24
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
0
D
Last matches: Água Santa
20.06.26
Ser
Água Santa
Velo Clube
0
0
D
06.06.26
Ser
Água Santa
América RJ
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa RJ
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Água Santa
Madureira
1
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Água Santa
Ceilândia
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa
1
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Água Santa
Rio Branco ES
2
3
L
07.06.25
Ser
Água Santa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Água Santa
Boavista SC
2
2
D
10.05.25
Ser
Água Santa
Porto Vitória
0
2
L
26.04.25
Ser
Água Santa
Nova Iguaçu
2
1
W
H2H away: Água Santa
18.04.26
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
W
26.07.25
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
2
W
02.06.24
H2H
Pouso Alegre
Água Santa
0
0
D