BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio do Caninde
Portuguesa
Match Timeline
Uberlandia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
77'
Jonas Toro
Portuguesa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47.7%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portuguesa Win 47.7%
Draw 15%
Uberlandia Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa1.16
Uberlandia1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portuguesa Portuguesa
WWDLW
21 GF / 10 GA
Uberlandia Uberlandia
WLDWL
21 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
7
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portuguesa Portuguesa 15 matches
Uberlandia Uberlandia 15 matches
Portuguesa Statistic Uberlandia
8 Wins 8
5 Draws 5
2 Losses 2
21 Goals For 21
10 Goals Against 12
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Uberlandia have the edge after taking the first leg 2-0, leaving Portuguesa needing to respond to a 2-goal deficit. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Uberlandia having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Uberlandia.

Portuguesa Analysis

Portuguesa enter this tie with a season profile built on 21 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats with goals at 16:6 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Uberlandia Analysis

Uberlandia enter this tie with a season profile built on 18 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. With 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 12:8, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa won 0 times, Uberlandia won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Portuguesa's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
H2H summary: Portuguesa wins 0, draws 0, Uberlandia wins 1
Last matches: Portuguesa
18.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Uberlandia
0
2
L
11.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
27.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
4
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
2
1
W
Last matches: Uberlandia
18.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Portuguesa
2
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cascavel
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Inter De Limeira
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Itabirito
4
0
W
H2H: Portuguesa vs Uberlandia
18.07.26
H2H
Uberlandia
Portuguesa
2
0
L
Last matches: Portuguesa
11.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
2
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
4
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
3
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
10.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Rio Branco ES
2
1
W
26.04.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
2
1
W
Last matches: Uberlandia
04.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cascavel
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cianorte
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Monte Azul
1
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Itabirito
3
1
W
26.04.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L

Standings

Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)