BRAZIL SERIE D
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Estadio Luso Brasileiro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portuguesa RJ Win 44%
Draw 23.3%
Sao Jose Win 32.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa RJ1.14
Sao Jose0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ
WWDLW
18 GF / 12 GA
Sao Jose Sao Jose
WLDWL
9 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.69
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
6
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 13 matches
Sao Jose Sao Jose 13 matches
Portuguesa RJ Statistic Sao Jose
4 Wins 4
6 Draws 6
3 Losses 3
18 Goals For 9
12 Goals Against 10
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
6 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together Portuguesa RJ's more proactive style and Sao Jose's more cautious structure, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sao Jose have the edge after taking the first leg 1-0, leaving Portuguesa RJ needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sao Jose. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sao Jose having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Portuguesa RJ Analysis

Portuguesa RJ come into this tie placed 3 in their league with 14 points from 10 matches. With 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 14:9, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Sao Jose Analysis

Sao Jose enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 10 matches, placing them 4 in their league. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 6:8 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa RJ won 1 times, Sao Jose won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Portuguesa RJ's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.7%)
H2H summary: Portuguesa RJ wins 1, draws 0, Sao Jose wins 1
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
3
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
Last matches: Sao Jose
04.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
0
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
2
L
02.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Joinville
2
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
30.06.25
Ser
Sao Jose
São Luiz
2
1
W
H2H: Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose
03.07.16
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
2
L
25.06.16
H2H
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
0
1
W
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
21.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
10.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
H2H at home: Portuguesa RJ
03.07.16
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
2
L
Last matches: Sao Jose
27.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
02.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Joinville
2
0
W
30.06.25
Ser
Sao Jose
São Luiz
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
3
1
W
24.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Barra
1
1
D
11.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
03.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
3
1
W
19.04.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
H2H away: Sao Jose
03.07.16
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
2
W

Standings

Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)