BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Luso Brasileiro
Portuguesa RJ
Match Timeline
Madureira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
90+9'
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa RJ

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
52%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Portuguesa RJ Win 62%
Draw 38%
Madureira Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa RJ2.1
Madureira1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ
WWDLW
5 GF / 1 GA
Madureira Madureira
WLDWL
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 2 matches
Madureira Madureira 2 matches
Portuguesa RJ Statistic Madureira
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
5 Goals For 3
1 Goals Against 3
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
1 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Portuguesa RJ's more proactive style and Madureira's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Madureira having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Madureira. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Portuguesa RJ Analysis

Portuguesa RJ arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 4 points after 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 5:1 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Lohan (3 goals), Elicley (1 goals), Matheus Iacovelli (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Madureira Analysis

Madureira arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 3 points after 2 matches. The record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 3:3 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Adriano (1 goals), Wallace Camilo (1 goals), Welington Zaru (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa RJ won 2 times, Madureira won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Portuguesa RJ's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: Portuguesa RJ wins 2, draws 5, Madureira wins 2
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
12.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
3
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
Last matches: Madureira
06.06.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
1
4
L
23.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Madureira
América RJ
1
3
L
09.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Madureira
América RJ
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
H2H: Portuguesa RJ vs Madureira
23.05.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
18.04.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
26.01.26
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
2
W
19.01.25
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
2
1
W
05.02.24
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
02.02.23
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
20.02.22
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
21.03.21
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
L
18.01.20
H2H
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
L
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
12.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
10.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
H2H at home: Portuguesa RJ
18.04.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
19.01.25
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
2
1
W
20.02.22
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
Last matches: Madureira
30.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
1
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Madureira
América RJ
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
H2H away: Madureira
18.04.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
19.01.25
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
2
1
L
20.02.22
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D