BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Luso Brasileiro
Portuguesa RJ
Match Timeline
Água Santa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
Levi
Água Santa
37'
Matheus Iacovelli
Portuguesa RJ
54'
Lohan
Portuguesa RJ
🟥
88'
Água Santa
Água Santa
90'
Richard
Água Santa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 72.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
72.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
43.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portuguesa RJ Win 33.8%
Draw 27.7%
Água Santa Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa RJ1.16
Água Santa1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ
WWDLW
7 GF / 2 GA
Água Santa Água Santa
WLDWL
8 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 5 matches
Água Santa Água Santa 5 matches
Portuguesa RJ Statistic Água Santa
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
7 Goals For 8
2 Goals Against 4
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
1 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Água Santa. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Água Santa having the stronger overall control.

Portuguesa RJ Analysis

Placed 3 with 8 points from 5 outings, Portuguesa RJ continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 7:2 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Lohan (3 goals), Matheus Iacovelli (2 goals), Anderson Rosa (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Água Santa Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 9 points from 5 games, Água Santa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 8:4, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Gustavinho (2 goals), Levi (2 goals), Cesinha Belli (1 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa RJ won 0 times, Água Santa won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Portuguesa RJ's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.3%)
H2H summary: Portuguesa RJ wins 0, draws 1, Água Santa wins 1
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
12.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
3
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
Last matches: Água Santa
27.06.26
Ser
Água Santa
Velo Clube
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Água Santa
Velo Clube
0
0
D
06.06.26
Ser
Água Santa
América RJ
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Madureira
4
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Água Santa
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Água Santa
Madureira
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Água Santa
América RJ
4
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Água Santa
Ceilândia
0
1
L
02.08.25
Ser
Água Santa
Ceilândia
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Nova Iguaçu
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa
1
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Porto Vitória
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Água Santa
Rio Branco ES
2
3
L
14.06.25
Ser
Água Santa
Boavista SC
2
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Água Santa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
H2H: Portuguesa RJ vs Água Santa
10.05.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D
02.05.26
H2H
Água Santa
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
L
Last matches: Portuguesa RJ
12.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Sao Jose
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Noroeste
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
América RJ
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Madureira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
H2H at home: Portuguesa RJ
10.05.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D
Last matches: Água Santa
20.06.26
Ser
Água Santa
Velo Clube
0
0
D
06.06.26
Ser
Água Santa
América RJ
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Água Santa
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Água Santa
Madureira
1
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Água Santa
Ceilândia
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Pouso Alegre
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Água Santa
Portuguesa
1
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Água Santa
Rio Branco ES
2
3
L
07.06.25
Ser
Água Santa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Água Santa
Boavista SC
2
2
D
10.05.25
Ser
Água Santa
Porto Vitória
0
2
L
26.04.25
Ser
Água Santa
Nova Iguaçu
2
1
W
H2H away: Água Santa
10.05.26
H2H
Portuguesa RJ
Água Santa
2
2
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)