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Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Portuguesa FC Win 54.9%
Draw 18.8%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa FC1.32
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC
D D D D D
5 GF / 5 GA
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
W L D W D
6 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
14
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 28 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 28 matches
Portuguesa FC Statistic Estudiantes de Merida FC
10 Wins 11
12 Draws 5
6 Losses 12
38 Goals For 33
29 Goals Against 35
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
14 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portuguesa FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Estudiantes de Merida FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estudiantes de Merida FC having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Estudiantes de Merida FC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Portuguesa FC Analysis

Placed 4 with 32 points from 20 outings, Portuguesa FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 29:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

Estudiantes de Merida FC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 32 points from 20 matches. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 29:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa FC won 7 times, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:15 from Portuguesa FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)
Predicted formations: Portuguesa FC 4-4-2 / Estudiantes de Merida FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Portuguesa FC wins 7, draws 4, Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 47:21 26 57
D W W W W
2 26 15 6 5 47:29 18 51
D W W D L
3 26 12 8 6 37:24 13 44
L D L L L
4 26 10 11 5 38:24 14 41
D W D W W
5 26 10 10 6 35:26 9 40
D W W D L
6 26 9 12 5 34:24 10 39
D D L W D
7 26 11 6 9 37:35 2 39
D L D W W
8 26 10 7 9 36:34 2 37
D L D L W
9 26 7 11 8 30:33 -3 32
W W D L L
10 26 8 5 13 31:39 -8 29
D W D W W
11 26 6 7 13 26:41 -15 25
L L L L L
12 26 7 4 15 31:52 -21 25
L L D W D
13 26 4 6 16 23:46 -23 18
W L D L W
14 26 4 5 17 23:47 -24 17
W L D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2