VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.8%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portuguesa FC Win 51.8%
Draw 9.7%
Carabobo FC Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa FC1.24
Carabobo FC1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC
WWDLW
27 GF / 20 GA
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
WLDWL
40 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
9
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 19 matches
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 24 matches
Portuguesa FC Statistic Carabobo FC
7 Wins 11
7 Draws 9
5 Losses 4
27 Goals For 40
20 Goals Against 23
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
9 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 4
0 Total Shots 13.75
0 Corners 5
0% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Carabobo FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Carabobo FC having the stronger overall control.

Portuguesa FC Analysis

Placed 5 with 20 points from 13 outings, Portuguesa FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, while the 20:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on J. Canete (12 goals), D. Linarez (4 goals), J. Moreno (3 goals), with creative support from G. Salega (6 assists), J. Moreno (3 assists), J. Gonzalez (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Carabobo FC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Carabobo FC have collected 19 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 23:14 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Martinez (8 goals), E. Tortolero (6 goals), E. Ramirez (5 goals), with creative support from Y. Orozco (10 assists), J. Perez (3 assists), J. Berios (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa FC won 1 times, Carabobo FC won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:13 from Portuguesa FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
H2H summary: Portuguesa FC wins 1, draws 7, Carabobo FC wins 5
Last matches: Portuguesa FC
30.05.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
UCV
3
2
W
23.05.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Puerto Cabello
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
UCV
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
UCV
3
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Puerto Cabello
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Zamora FC
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
08.03.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Metropolitanos FC
2
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Monagas SC
4
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Trujillanos FC
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Academia Anzoátegui
0
3
L
06.02.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Carabobo FC
07.06.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Metropolitanos FC
5
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
13.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
20.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Academia Anzoátegui
6
3
W
12.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
UCV
4
2
W
02.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
23.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Rayo Zuliano
5
0
W
11.03.26
CON
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
04.03.26
CON
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Caracas FC
0
0
D
24.02.26
CON
Carabobo FC
Huachipato
2
1
W
20.02.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
H2H: Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC
31.01.26
H2H
Carabobo FC
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
27.08.25
H2H
Carabobo FC
Portuguesa FC
5
0
L
19.08.25
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
11.07.25
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
02.02.25
H2H
Carabobo FC
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
29.09.24
H2H
Carabobo FC
Portuguesa FC
1
0
L
27.05.24
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
2
1
W
28.04.24
H2H
Carabobo FC
Portuguesa FC
2
1
L
30.03.24
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
12.05.23
H2H
Carabobo FC
Portuguesa FC
1
0
L
31.07.22
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
21.04.22
H2H
Carabobo FC
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
14.10.20
H2H
Carabobo FC
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
24.05.20
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Portuguesa FC
23.05.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Puerto Cabello
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
UCV
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
UCV
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Puerto Cabello
3
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
27.02.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Monagas SC
4
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Academia Anzoátegui
0
3
L
06.02.26
Pri
Portuguesa FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
0
W
H2H at home: Portuguesa FC
19.08.25
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
11.07.25
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
27.05.24
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
2
1
W
30.03.24
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
31.07.22
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
24.05.20
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Carabobo FC
31.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Metropolitanos FC
5
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
24.02.26
CON
Carabobo FC
Huachipato
2
1
W
20.02.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Trujillanos FC
1
1
D
H2H away: Carabobo FC
19.08.25
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
11.07.25
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
27.05.24
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
2
1
L
30.03.24
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
31.07.22
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
1
W
24.05.20
H2H
Portuguesa FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
?
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
?
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
?
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
?
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
?
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
?
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
?
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
?
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
?
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
?
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
?
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
?
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
?
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
?
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)