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10.06.2026 19:45
Portugal
FT
2 - 1
Nigeria
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
Portugal
Match Timeline
Nigeria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Onyemaechi Bruno
Nigeria
⚽
23'
P. Neto · Assist: D. Dalot
Portugal
⚽
37'
A. Adams · Assist: F. Dele-Bashiru
Nigeria
🔄
46'
Vitinha ↔ Samu Costa
Portugal
🔄
46'
D. Dalot ↔ N. Mendes
Portugal
🔄
46'
G. Inacio ↔ R. Veiga
Portugal
🔄
46'
N. Semedo ↔ J. Cancelo
Portugal
🔄
46'
B. Fernandes ↔ B. Silva
Portugal
🔄
46'
J. Neves ↔ R. Neves
Portugal
🔄
46'
P. Neto ↔ Joao Felix
Portugal
🔄
46'
R. Dias ↔ T. Araujo
Portugal
🔄
46'
Trincao ↔ F. Conceicao
Portugal
🔄
60'
F. Dele-Bashiru ↔ F. Onyeka
Nigeria
🔄
60'
W. Ndidi ↔ R. Onyedika
Nigeria
🔄
60'
C. Akpan ↔ A. Bewene
Nigeria
🔄
61'
M. Simon ↔ T. Moffi
Nigeria
🔄
61'
S. Ajayi ↔ Zaidu
Nigeria
🔄
64'
C. Ronaldo ↔ G. Ramos
Portugal
🟨
71'
João Félix
Portugal
⚽
75'
F. Conceicao · Assist: J. Cancelo
Portugal
🔄
79'
T. Nnadi ↔ S. Chukwueze
Nigeria
🔄
79'
A. Adams ↔ P. Onuachu
Nigeria
🔄
80'
↔ M. Nunes
Portugal
🟨
90+4'
Samú Costa
Portugal
🟨
90+3'
Zaidu Sanusi
Nigeria
🔄
90'
A. Iwobi ↔ P. Otele
Nigeria

Portugal vs Nigeria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
0 agree / 2 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Portugal Win 55.9%
Draw 4%
Nigeria Win 40.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portugal1.2
Nigeria1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portugal Portugal
WWDLW
4 GF / 1 GA
Nigeria Nigeria
WLDWL
11 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.2
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portugal Portugal 3 matches
Nigeria Nigeria 5 matches
Portugal Statistic Nigeria
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
4 Goals For 11
1 Goals Against 5
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 1
10.33 Total Shots 1.8
5.33 Corners 0.4
63% Ball Possession 10.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Portugal won 2 times, Nigeria won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from Portugal's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Portugal 4-2-3-1 / Nigeria 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Portugal wins 2, draws 0, Nigeria wins 0