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WORLD › WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Portugal
FT
2 - 1
Croatia
BMO Field
Referee: Espen Eskas, Norway
Portugal
Match Timeline
Croatia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Rúben Dias
Portugal
🔄
46'
A. Budimir ↔ I. Matanovic
Croatia
⚽
53'
I. Perisic
Croatia
🟨
59'
Luka Modrić
Croatia
VAR
61'
Cristiano Ronaldo
Portugal
🔄
62'
Vitinha ↔ B. Silva
Portugal
🔄
63'
B. Fernandes ↔ N. Semedo
Portugal
🔄
63'
J. Cancelo ↔ G. Ramos
Portugal
🔄
63'
P. Neto ↔ F. Conceicao
Portugal
VAR
67'
Renato Veiga
Portugal
🔄
68'
M. Baturina ↔ M. Pasalic
Croatia
⚽
68'
C. Ronaldo
Portugal
🔄
81'
C. Ronaldo ↔ R. Neves
Portugal
🟨
90+8'
Ivan Perišić
Croatia
VAR
90+16'
Joško Gvardiol
Croatia
🔄
90+6'
M. Kovacic ↔ A. Kramaric
Croatia
🔄
90+2'
N. Vlasic ↔ J. Gvardiol
Croatia
⚽
90'
G. Ramos · Assist: R. Leao
Portugal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Portugal Win 59.9%
Draw 7.6%
Croatia Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portugal1.71
Croatia1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portugal Portugal
WWDLW
12 GF / 3 GA
Croatia Croatia
WLDWL
10 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
4.29
Shots on Goal
2.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portugal Portugal 7 matches
Croatia Croatia 7 matches
Portugal Statistic Croatia
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 0
0 Losses 3
12 Goals For 10
3 Goals Against 12
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
0.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
4.29 Shots On Goal 2.71
11.57 Total Shots 8
4.14 Corners 2.86
62.3% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Portugal won 5 times, Croatia won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Portugal's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Portugal 4-2-3-1 / Croatia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Portugal wins 5, draws 2, Croatia wins 1
Stats
Portugal Portugal
Croatia Croatia
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 5
6 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 4
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
584 Total passes 368
532 Passes accurate 311
2.18 expected_goals 1.34
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Portugal
Formation
Croatia
D. Costa
D. Costa
J. Cancelo
↓
J. Cancelo
R. Dias
R. Dias
R. Veiga
R. Veiga
N. Mendes
N. Mendes
J. Neves
J. Neves
Vitinha
↓
Vitinha
P. Neto
↓
P. Neto
B. Fernandes
↓
B. Fernandes
R. Leao
🎯
R. Leao
C. Ronaldo
⚽ ↓
C. Ronaldo
D. Livakovic
D. Livakovic
J. Stanisic
J. Stanisic
J. Sutalo
J. Sutalo
M. Pongracic
M. Pongracic
I. Perisic
⚽
I. Perisic
L. Modric
L. Modric
M. Kovacic
↓
M. Kovacic
N. Vlasic
↓
N. Vlasic
P. Sucic
P. Sucic
M. Baturina
↓
M. Baturina
A. Budimir
↓
A. Budimir
Portugal 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Costa
G
20
J. Cancelo
↓ 63'
D
3
R. Dias
🟨 17'
D
13
R. Veiga
D
25
N. Mendes
D
15
J. Neves
M
23
Vitinha
↓ 62'
M
18
P. Neto
↓ 63'
M
8
B. Fernandes
↓ 63'
M
17
R. Leao
🎯 90'
M
7
C. Ronaldo
⚽ 68' ↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Sa
G
22
R. Silva
G
19
G. Guedes
F
2
N. Semedo
↑ 63'
D
5
D. Dalot
D
9
G. Ramos
⚽ 90' ↑ 63'
F
14
G. Inacio
D
24
Samu Costa
M
6
M. Nunes
M
10
B. Silva
↑ 62'
M
21
R. Neves
↑ 81'
M
11
Joao Felix
F
16
Trincao
F
4
T. Araujo
D
26
F. Conceicao
↑ 63'
F
Croatia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Livakovic
G
2
J. Stanisic
D
6
J. Sutalo
D
3
M. Pongracic
D
14
I. Perisic
⚽ 53' 🟨 90+8'
D
10
L. Modric
🟨 59'
M
8
M. Kovacic
↓ 90+6'
M
13
N. Vlasic
↓ 90+2'
M
17
P. Sucic
M
16
M. Baturina
↓ 68'
M
11
A. Budimir
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
23
D. Kotarski
G
12
I. Pandur
G
9
A. Kramaric
↑ 90+6'
F
5
D. Caleta-Car
D
7
N. Moro
M
25
M. Erlic
D
18
K. Jakic
M
21
L. Sucic
M
4
J. Gvardiol
↑ 90+2'
D
24
M. Pasalic
F
20
I. Matanovic
↑ 46'
F
15
M. Pasalic
↑ 68'
M
26
P. Musa
F
19
T. Fruk
M
22
L. Vuskovic
D
Last matches: Portugal
06.07.26
Wor
Portugal
Spain
0
1
L
27.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Colombia
0
0
D
23.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Uzbekistan
5
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Congo DR
1
1
D
10.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Nigeria
2
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Chile
2
1
W
31.03.26
Fri
Portugal
USA
2
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Portugal
Mexico
0
0
D
16.11.25
Wor
Portugal
Armenia
9
1
W
13.11.25
Wor
Portugal
Rep. Of Ireland
0
2
L
14.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Hungary
2
2
D
11.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Rep. Of Ireland
1
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
Portugal
Hungary
3
2
W
06.09.25
Wor
Portugal
Armenia
5
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Portugal
Spain
2
2
D
04.06.25
UEF
Portugal
Germany
2
1
W
23.03.25
UEF
Portugal
Denmark
5
2
W
20.03.25
UEF
Portugal
Denmark
0
1
L
18.11.24
UEF
Portugal
Croatia
1
1
D
15.11.24
UEF
Portugal
Poland
5
1
W
Last matches: Croatia
27.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Ghana
2
1
W
23.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Panama
1
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Croatia
England
2
4
L
07.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Slovenia
2
1
W
02.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Belgium
0
2
L
01.04.26
Fri
Croatia
Brazil
1
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Croatia
Colombia
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
3
2
W
14.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
3
1
W
12.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
3
0
W
09.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
0
0
D
08.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
4
0
W
05.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
1
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
5
1
W
06.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
7
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
0
2
L
20.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
2
0
W
18.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
1
D
15.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
0
1
L
15.10.24
UEF
Croatia
Poland
3
3
D
H2H: Portugal vs Croatia
02.07.26
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
18.11.24
H2H
Croatia
Portugal
1
1
D
05.09.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
08.06.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
2
L
17.11.20
H2H
Croatia
Portugal
2
3
W
05.09.20
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
4
1
W
30.03.20
H2H
Croatia
Portugal
0
0
D
06.09.18
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
1
D
25.06.16
H2H
Croatia
Portugal
0
1
W
Last matches: Portugal
06.07.26
Wor
Portugal
Spain
0
1
L
23.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Uzbekistan
5
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Congo DR
1
1
D
10.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Nigeria
2
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Chile
2
1
W
16.11.25
Wor
Portugal
Armenia
9
1
W
14.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Hungary
2
2
D
11.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Rep. Of Ireland
1
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Portugal
Spain
2
2
D
23.03.25
UEF
Portugal
Denmark
5
2
W
15.11.24
UEF
Portugal
Poland
5
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Portugal
Scotland
2
1
W
05.09.24
UEF
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
H2H at home: Portugal
02.07.26
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
05.09.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
08.06.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
2
L
05.09.20
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
4
1
W
06.09.18
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
1
D
Last matches: Croatia
23.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Panama
1
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Croatia
England
2
4
L
01.04.26
Fri
Croatia
Brazil
1
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Croatia
Colombia
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
3
2
W
09.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
0
0
D
05.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
1
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
7
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
0
2
L
15.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
0
1
L
15.10.24
UEF
Croatia
Poland
3
3
D
05.09.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
2
L
H2H away: Croatia
02.07.26
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
L
05.09.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
L
08.06.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
2
W
05.09.20
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
4
1
L
06.09.18
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
1
D

Standings

Group K
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Colombia
3 2 1 0 4:1 3 7
L W D W W
2
Portugal Home
3 1 2 0 6:1 5 5
L W D W D
3
Congo DR
3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
L W L D
4
Uzbekistan
3 0 0 3 2:11 -9 0
L L L
Round of 32