WORLD WORLD CUP
02.07.2026 23:00
BMO Field
Referee: Espen Eskas, Norway
Portugal
Match Timeline
Croatia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Rúben Dias
Portugal
🔄
46'
A. Budimir ↔ I. Matanovic
Croatia
53'
I. Perisic
Croatia
🟨
59'
Luka Modrić
Croatia
VAR
61'
Cristiano Ronaldo
Portugal
🔄
62'
Vitinha ↔ B. Silva
Portugal
🔄
63'
B. Fernandes ↔ N. Semedo
Portugal
🔄
63'
J. Cancelo ↔ G. Ramos
Portugal
🔄
63'
P. Neto ↔ F. Conceicao
Portugal
VAR
67'
Renato Veiga
Portugal
🔄
68'
M. Baturina ↔ M. Pasalic
Croatia
68'
C. Ronaldo
Portugal
🔄
81'
C. Ronaldo ↔ R. Neves
Portugal
🟨
90+8'
Ivan Perišić
Croatia
VAR
90+16'
Joško Gvardiol
Croatia
🔄
90+6'
M. Kovacic ↔ A. Kramaric
Croatia
🔄
90+2'
N. Vlasic ↔ J. Gvardiol
Croatia
90'
G. Ramos · Assist: R. Leao
Portugal

Portugal vs Croatia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portugal Win 59.9%
Draw 7.6%
Croatia Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portugal1.71
Croatia1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portugal Portugal
WWDLW
12 GF / 3 GA
Croatia Croatia
WLDWL
10 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
4.29
Shots on Goal
2.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portugal Portugal 7 matches
Croatia Croatia 7 matches
Portugal Statistic Croatia
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 0
0 Losses 3
12 Goals For 10
3 Goals Against 12
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
0.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
4.29 Shots On Goal 2.71
11.57 Total Shots 8
4.14 Corners 2.86
62.3% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Portugal won 5 times, Croatia won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Portugal's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Portugal 4-2-3-1 / Croatia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Portugal wins 5, draws 2, Croatia wins 1

Standings

Group K
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 4:1 3 7
L W D W W
2 3 1 2 0 6:1 5 5
L W D W D
3 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
L W L D
4 3 0 0 3 2:11 -9 0
L L L
Round of 32