WORLD WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
BMO Field
Referee: Espen Eskas, Norway
Portugal
Match Timeline
Croatia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Rúben Dias
Portugal
🔄
46'
A. Budimir ↔ I. Matanovic
Croatia
53'
I. Perisic
Croatia
🟨
59'
Luka Modrić
Croatia
VAR
61'
Cristiano Ronaldo
Portugal
🔄
62'
Vitinha ↔ B. Silva
Portugal
🔄
63'
B. Fernandes ↔ N. Semedo
Portugal
🔄
63'
J. Cancelo ↔ G. Ramos
Portugal
🔄
63'
P. Neto ↔ F. Conceicao
Portugal
VAR
67'
Renato Veiga
Portugal
🔄
68'
M. Baturina ↔ M. Pasalic
Croatia
68'
C. Ronaldo
Portugal
🔄
81'
C. Ronaldo ↔ R. Neves
Portugal
🟨
90+8'
Ivan Perišić
Croatia
VAR
90+16'
Joško Gvardiol
Croatia
🔄
90+6'
M. Kovacic ↔ A. Kramaric
Croatia
🔄
90+2'
N. Vlasic ↔ J. Gvardiol
Croatia
90'
G. Ramos · Assist: R. Leao
Portugal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds 1.81
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.12
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.9%
1.81
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.95
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.12
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.1%
1.54
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Portugal Win 59.9%
Draw 7.6%
Croatia Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portugal1.71
Croatia1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portugal Portugal
WWDLW
12 GF / 3 GA
Croatia Croatia
WLDWL
10 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
4.29
Shots on Goal
2.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portugal Portugal 7 matches
Croatia Croatia 7 matches
Portugal Statistic Croatia
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 0
0 Losses 3
12 Goals For 10
3 Goals Against 12
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
0.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
4.29 Shots On Goal 2.71
11.57 Total Shots 8
4.14 Corners 2.86
62.3% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Portugal won 5 times, Croatia won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Portugal's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Portugal 4-2-3-1 / Croatia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Portugal wins 5, draws 2, Croatia wins 1
Stats
Portugal Portugal
Croatia Croatia
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 5
6 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 4
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
584 Total passes 368
532 Passes accurate 311
2.18 expected_goals 1.34
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Portugal
Formation
Croatia
D. Costa
D. Costa
J. Cancelo
J. Cancelo
R. Dias
R. Dias
R. Veiga
R. Veiga
N. Mendes
N. Mendes
J. Neves
J. Neves
Vitinha
Vitinha
P. Neto
P. Neto
B. Fernandes
B. Fernandes
R. Leao
🎯
R. Leao
C. Ronaldo
C. Ronaldo
D. Livakovic
D. Livakovic
J. Stanisic
J. Stanisic
J. Sutalo
J. Sutalo
M. Pongracic
M. Pongracic
I. Perisic
I. Perisic
L. Modric
L. Modric
M. Kovacic
M. Kovacic
N. Vlasic
N. Vlasic
P. Sucic
P. Sucic
M. Baturina
M. Baturina
A. Budimir
A. Budimir
Portugal 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Costa
G
20
J. Cancelo
↓ 63'
D
3
R. Dias
🟨 17'
D
13
R. Veiga
D
25
N. Mendes
D
15
J. Neves
M
23
Vitinha
↓ 62'
M
18
P. Neto
↓ 63'
M
8
B. Fernandes
↓ 63'
M
17
R. Leao
🎯 90'
M
7
C. Ronaldo
⚽ 68' ↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Sa
G
22
R. Silva
G
19
G. Guedes
F
2
N. Semedo
↑ 63'
D
5
D. Dalot
D
9
G. Ramos
⚽ 90' ↑ 63'
F
14
G. Inacio
D
24
Samu Costa
M
6
M. Nunes
M
10
B. Silva
↑ 62'
M
21
R. Neves
↑ 81'
M
11
Joao Felix
F
16
Trincao
F
4
T. Araujo
D
26
F. Conceicao
↑ 63'
F
Croatia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Livakovic
G
2
J. Stanisic
D
6
J. Sutalo
D
3
M. Pongracic
D
14
I. Perisic
⚽ 53' 🟨 90+8'
D
10
L. Modric
🟨 59'
M
8
M. Kovacic
↓ 90+6'
M
13
N. Vlasic
↓ 90+2'
M
17
P. Sucic
M
16
M. Baturina
↓ 68'
M
11
A. Budimir
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
23
D. Kotarski
G
12
I. Pandur
G
9
A. Kramaric
↑ 90+6'
F
5
D. Caleta-Car
D
7
N. Moro
M
25
M. Erlic
D
18
K. Jakic
M
21
L. Sucic
M
4
J. Gvardiol
↑ 90+2'
D
24
M. Pasalic
F
20
I. Matanovic
↑ 46'
F
15
M. Pasalic
↑ 68'
M
26
P. Musa
F
19
T. Fruk
M
22
L. Vuskovic
D
Last matches: Portugal
06.07.26
Wor
Portugal
Spain
0
1
L
27.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Colombia
0
0
D
23.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Uzbekistan
5
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Congo DR
1
1
D
10.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Nigeria
2
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Chile
2
1
W
31.03.26
Fri
Portugal
USA
2
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Portugal
Mexico
0
0
D
16.11.25
Wor
Portugal
Armenia
9
1
W
13.11.25
Wor
Portugal
Rep. Of Ireland
0
2
L
14.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Hungary
2
2
D
11.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Rep. Of Ireland
1
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
Portugal
Hungary
3
2
W
06.09.25
Wor
Portugal
Armenia
5
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Portugal
Spain
2
2
D
04.06.25
UEF
Portugal
Germany
2
1
W
23.03.25
UEF
Portugal
Denmark
5
2
W
20.03.25
UEF
Portugal
Denmark
0
1
L
18.11.24
UEF
Portugal
Croatia
1
1
D
15.11.24
UEF
Portugal
Poland
5
1
W
Last matches: Croatia
27.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Ghana
2
1
W
23.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Panama
1
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Croatia
England
2
4
L
07.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Slovenia
2
1
W
02.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Belgium
0
2
L
01.04.26
Fri
Croatia
Brazil
1
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Croatia
Colombia
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
3
2
W
14.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
3
1
W
12.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
3
0
W
09.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
0
0
D
08.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
4
0
W
05.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
1
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
5
1
W
06.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
7
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
0
2
L
20.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
2
0
W
18.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
1
D
15.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
0
1
L
15.10.24
UEF
Croatia
Poland
3
3
D
H2H: Portugal vs Croatia
02.07.26
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
18.11.24
H2H
Croatia
Portugal
1
1
D
05.09.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
08.06.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
2
L
17.11.20
H2H
Croatia
Portugal
2
3
W
05.09.20
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
4
1
W
30.03.20
H2H
Croatia
Portugal
0
0
D
06.09.18
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
1
D
25.06.16
H2H
Croatia
Portugal
0
1
W
Last matches: Portugal
06.07.26
Wor
Portugal
Spain
0
1
L
23.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Uzbekistan
5
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Portugal
Congo DR
1
1
D
10.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Nigeria
2
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
Portugal
Chile
2
1
W
16.11.25
Wor
Portugal
Armenia
9
1
W
14.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Hungary
2
2
D
11.10.25
Wor
Portugal
Rep. Of Ireland
1
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Portugal
Spain
2
2
D
23.03.25
UEF
Portugal
Denmark
5
2
W
15.11.24
UEF
Portugal
Poland
5
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Portugal
Scotland
2
1
W
05.09.24
UEF
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
H2H at home: Portugal
02.07.26
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
05.09.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
W
08.06.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
2
L
05.09.20
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
4
1
W
06.09.18
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
1
D
Last matches: Croatia
23.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Panama
1
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Croatia
England
2
4
L
01.04.26
Fri
Croatia
Brazil
1
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Croatia
Colombia
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
3
2
W
09.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
0
0
D
05.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
1
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
7
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
0
2
L
15.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
0
1
L
15.10.24
UEF
Croatia
Poland
3
3
D
05.09.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
2
L
H2H away: Croatia
02.07.26
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
L
05.09.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
2
1
L
08.06.24
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
2
W
05.09.20
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
4
1
L
06.09.18
H2H
Portugal
Croatia
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.86
Draw 3.60
Home 1.81
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.41
Draw 2.27
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.22
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 1.75 1.44
Over 2.0 1.58
Over 2.25 1.86
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 2.45
Over 3.0 3.05
Over 3.25 3.43
Under 1.25 4.35
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 1.75 2.87
Under 2.0 2.47
Under 2.25 2.03
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 2.75 1.58
Under 3.0 1.39
Under 3.25 1.32
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 3.50
Home 1.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.20
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.40
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.20
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.19
Draw 3.64
Home 1.82
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.53
Draw 2.11
Home 2.41
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.87
Draw 2.49
Home 2.16
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.18
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.54
Over 2.25 1.86
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 2.36
Over 3.0 2.97
Over 3.25 3.32
Over 3.5 3.70
Over 3.75 4.62
Over 4.0 6.60
Over 4.25 6.92
Over 4.5 7.30
Over 5.0 13.50
Over 5.5 16.50
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 8.90
Under 0.75 8.50
Under 1.0 7.50
Under 1.25 4.22
Under 1.5 3.06
Under 1.75 2.73
Under 2.0 2.38
Under 2.25 2.00
Under 2.5 1.77
Under 2.75 1.54
Under 3.0 1.36
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.23
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.04
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 3.40
Home 1.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.20
Draw 2.18
Home 2.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.55
Home 2.08
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.55
Over 2.25 1.82
Over 2.5 2.07
Over 2.75 2.43
Over 3.0 3.00
Over 3.25 3.35
Over 3.5 3.70
Over 4.5 8.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 1.75 2.88
Under 2.0 2.45
Under 2.25 1.98
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 2.75 1.56
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 4.5 1.07

Standings

Group K
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 4:1 3 7
L W D W W
2 3 1 2 0 6:1 5 5
L W D W D
3 3 1 1 1 4:3 1 4
L W L D
4 3 0 0 3 2:11 -9 0
L L L
Round of 32