✉️ topbetpredict.com@gmail.com Register
ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Portsmouth
FT
0 - 1
Derby
Fratton Park
Referee: A. Backhouse
Portsmouth
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
S. Szmodics
Derby
🟨
40'
Conor Chaplin
Portsmouth
🟨
41'
Sammie Szmodics
Derby
🟨
53'
Matthew Clarke
Derby
🔄
61'
R. Brewster ↔ O. Fraulo
Derby
🔄
63'
C. Chaplin ↔ J. Swift
Portsmouth
🔄
63'
Z. Swanson ↔ C. Shaughnessy
Portsmouth
🟨
67'
John Swift
Portsmouth
🔄
72'
P. Agyemang ↔ C. Morris
Derby
🔄
72'
S. Szmodics ↔ D. Ozoh
Derby
🔄
77'
E. Adams ↔ C. Bishop
Portsmouth
🔄
77'
M. Alli ↔ A. Segecic
Portsmouth
🟨
78'
Ben Brereton Díaz
Derby
🔄
83'
J. Brown ↔ M. Kirk
Portsmouth
🔄
83'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ J. Banel
Derby
🔄
83'
D. Murkin ↔ C. Forsyth
Derby
🟨
86'
Bobby Clark
Derby
🟨
88'
Joe Ward
Derby
🟨
90+2'
Oscar Fraulo
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Portsmouth Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portsmouth1.14
Derby1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portsmouth Portsmouth
WWDLW
37 GF / 51 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
55 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
20
BTTS Yes
26
17
Over 2.5
20
3.73
Shots on Goal
3.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portsmouth Portsmouth 37 matches
Derby Derby 38 matches
Portsmouth Statistic Derby
10 Wins 15
10 Draws 9
17 Losses 14
37 Goals For 55
51 Goals Against 51
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
20 BTTS Yes 26
25 Over 1.5 30
17 Over 2.5 20
8 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 4
3.73 Shots On Goal 3.37
12.49 Total Shots 10.34
5.89 Corners 4.58
51.2% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Portsmouth won 1 times, Derby won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Portsmouth's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Portsmouth 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Portsmouth wins 1, draws 6, Derby wins 4
Stats
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Derby Derby
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
12
Blocked Shots
2
11 Corner Kicks 3
14 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
68% Ball Possession 32%
27 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 4
12 Blocked Shots 2
18 Shots insidebox 8
9 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 9
493 Total passes 243
396 Passes accurate 145
1.72 expected_goals 1.00
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Portsmouth
Formation
Derby
N. Schmid
N. Schmid
T. Devlin
T. Devlin
R. Poole
R. Poole
C. Ogilvie
C. Ogilvie
Z. Swanson
↓
Z. Swanson
M. Pack
M. Pack
E. Adams
↓
E. Adams
M. Alli
↓
M. Alli
C. Chaplin
↓
C. Chaplin
G. Caballero
G. Caballero
J. Brown
↓
J. Brown
R. O'Donnell
R. O'Donnell
J. Ward
J. Ward
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
↓
D. Murkin
L. Travis
L. Travis
B. Clark
B. Clark
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
S. Szmodics
⚽ ↓
S. Szmodics
R. Brewster
↓
R. Brewster
P. Agyemang
↓
P. Agyemang
Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
N. Schmid
G
24
T. Devlin
D
5
R. Poole
D
3
C. Ogilvie
D
22
Z. Swanson
↓ 63'
D
7
M. Pack
M
38
E. Adams
↓ 77'
M
27
M. Alli
↓ 77'
M
36
C. Chaplin
↓ 63' 🟨 40'
M
47
G. Caballero
M
40
J. Brown
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
26
J. Bursik
G
8
J. Swift
↑ 63' 🟨 67'
M
9
C. Bishop
↑ 77'
F
16
L. Le Roux
M
10
A. Segecic
↑ 77'
M
25
M. Kirk
↑ 83'
F
6
C. Shaughnessy
↑ 63'
D
2
J. Williams
D
55
M. Dia
D
Derby 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
R. O'Donnell
G
23
J. Ward
🟨 88'
D
28
D. Sanderson
D
5
M. Clarke
🟨 53'
D
2
D. Murkin
↓ 83'
D
27
L. Travis
M
42
B. Clark
🟨 86'
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 83' 🟨 78'
M
19
S. Szmodics
⚽ 8' ↓ 72' 🟨 41'
M
10
R. Brewster
↓ 61'
M
7
P. Agyemang
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
52
J. Thompson
G
9
C. Morris
↑ 72'
F
34
J. Banel
↑ 83'
M
53
R. Canoville
D
3
C. Forsyth
↑ 83'
D
29
O. Fraulo
↑ 61' 🟨 90+2'
M
18
D. Ozoh
↑ 72'
M
54
C. Allen
44
I. Gordon
D
Last matches: Portsmouth
01.08.26
Fri
Portsmouth
SV Darmstadt 98
0
0
D
29.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Farnborough
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Wycombe
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Aldershot Town
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Woking
2
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Birmingham
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Stoke City
3
1
W
21.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Coventry
1
5
L
18.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Leicester
1
0
W
14.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Ipswich
2
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Oxford United
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Norwich
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
QPR
1
6
L
10.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Swansea
1
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Blackburn
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Hull City
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Wrexham
1
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Millwall
3
1
W
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
H2H: Portsmouth vs Derby
16.03.26
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
0
1
L
20.12.25
H2H
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
12.04.25
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
2
2
D
13.12.24
H2H
Derby
Portsmouth
4
0
L
02.04.24
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
2
2
D
16.09.23
H2H
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
29.04.23
H2H
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
18.11.22
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
0
0
D
12.08.15
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
2
1
W
21.04.12
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
1
2
L
29.10.11
H2H
Derby
Portsmouth
3
1
L
Last matches: Portsmouth
02.05.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Birmingham
1
1
D
18.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Leicester
1
0
W
14.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Ipswich
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Oxford United
2
2
D
10.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Swansea
1
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Hull City
0
1
L
14.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Sheffield Utd
0
1
L
31.01.26
Cha
Portsmouth
West Brom
3
0
W
25.01.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Southampton
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Portsmouth
Arsenal
1
4
L
29.12.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Charlton
2
1
W
26.12.25
Cha
Portsmouth
QPR
1
1
D
13.12.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Blackburn
2
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Bristol City
0
1
L
22.11.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Millwall
3
1
W
05.11.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Wrexham
0
0
D
25.10.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Stoke City
0
1
L
21.10.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Coventry
1
2
L
04.10.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
01.10.25
Cha
Portsmouth
Watford
2
2
D
H2H at home: Portsmouth
16.03.26
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
0
1
L
12.04.25
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
2
2
D
02.04.24
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
2
2
D
18.11.22
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
0
0
D
12.08.15
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
2
1
W
21.04.12
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
1
2
L
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
H2H away: Derby
16.03.26
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
0
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
2
2
D
02.04.24
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
2
2
D
18.11.22
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
0
0
D
12.08.15
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
2
1
L
21.04.12
H2H
Portsmouth
Derby
1
2
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth Home
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation