ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
19.09.2026 14:00
Fratton Park
Referee: John Busby
Portsmouth
Match Timeline
Blackburn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Zak Swanson
Portsmouth
11'
Oladapo Afolayan · Assist: Harry Pickering
Blackburn
🟨
40'
Marlon Pack
Portsmouth
🔄
45'
Rocco Robert Shein ↔ Ebou Adams
Portsmouth
🟨
47'
Tom Atcheson
Blackburn
56'
Ryoya Morishita · Assist: Oladapo Afolayan
Blackburn
🔄
63'
Marlon Pack ↔ Odin Bailey
Portsmouth
🔄
63'
Conor Shaughnessy ↔ Regan Poole
Portsmouth
🔄
69'
Oladapo Afolayan ↔ Andri Guðjohnsen
Blackburn
🔄
69'
Tom Atcheson ↔ Moussa·Baradji
Blackburn
🔄
71'
Adrian Segecic ↔ Colby·Bishop
Portsmouth
74'
Colby·Bishop · Assist: Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
Portsmouth
🔄
83'
Todd Cantwell ↔ J. Fevrier
Blackburn
🔄
87'
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen ↔ Iyad Mohamed
Portsmouth
🟨
89'
Zak Swanson
Portsmouth

Portsmouth vs Blackburn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.14
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.3%
1.33
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.14
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.10
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Portsmouth Win 38.3%
Draw 27.1%
Blackburn Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portsmouth1.07
Blackburn1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portsmouth Portsmouth
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
Blackburn Blackburn
WLDWL
16 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
7
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
8
4.17
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 matches
Blackburn Blackburn 12 matches
Portsmouth Statistic Blackburn
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
12 Goals For 16
16 Goals Against 14
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
7 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 3
4.17 Shots On Goal 4
14.83 Total Shots 12.14
6.67 Corners 5.86
53.8% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Blackburn. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Portsmouth Analysis

Portsmouth approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 6 points from 5 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:8, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Milovanović (2 goals), A. Segecic (1 goals), E. Adams (1 goals), with creative support from A. Segecic (1 assists), E. Adams (1 assists), A. Kamara (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Blackburn Analysis

Blackburn sit 18 with 5 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 7:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Morishita (1 goals), A. Guðjohnsen (1 goals), S. McLoughlin (1 goals), with creative support from R. Morishita (1 assists), A. Guðjohnsen (1 assists), O. Afolayan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Portsmouth won 2 times, Blackburn won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Portsmouth's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73%)
Predicted formations: Portsmouth 4-2-3-1 / Blackburn 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Portsmouth 7, Blackburn 6
H2H summary: Portsmouth wins 2, draws 1, Blackburn wins 3

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One