BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Porto Velho
Match Timeline
Araguaína
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
Ruan Costa
Porto Velho
37'
Thalyson Nunes
Araguaína
78'
Franca
Araguaína

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Porto Velho Win 52.5%
Draw 9.5%
Araguaína Win 38%
Expected Goals (xG)
Porto Velho3.1
Araguaína1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Porto Velho Porto Velho
WWDLW
9 GF / 1 GA
Araguaína Araguaína
WLDWL
3 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
4.5
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Porto Velho Porto Velho 2 matches
Araguaína Araguaína 2 matches
Porto Velho Statistic Araguaína
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
9 Goals For 3
1 Goals Against 2
4.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Araguaína. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Porto Velho arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 6 points compared to Araguaína in 2 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Araguaína having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Porto Velho Analysis

Porto Velho arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 6 points after 2 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 9:1 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jeferson (2 goals), Luan Viana (2 goals), Yan Philippe (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Araguaína Analysis

Araguaína arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 4 points after 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 3:2 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alan Calbergue (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Porto Velho won 0 times, Araguaína won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Porto Velho's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)
H2H summary: Porto Velho wins 0, draws 1, Araguaína wins 1
Last matches: Porto Velho
12.07.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Gama
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Gama
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
13
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
6
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
4
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
5
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
2
2
D
05.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
0
7
L
28.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
3
L
Last matches: Araguaína
28.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Nacional AM
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Nacional AM
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Galvez
9
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Guaporé
2
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Porto Velho
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Humaitá
7
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Humaitá
6
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Guaporé
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Galvez
2
1
W
H2H: Porto Velho vs Araguaína
24.05.26
H2H
Araguaína
Porto Velho
1
1
D
19.04.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
2
L
Last matches: Porto Velho
04.07.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Gama
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
13
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
4
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
2
2
D
28.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
3
1
W
26.04.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
H2H at home: Porto Velho
19.04.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
2
L
Last matches: Araguaína
28.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Nacional AM
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Guaporé
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Humaitá
7
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Galvez
2
1
W
H2H away: Araguaína
19.04.26
H2H
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
2
W