Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
47.9%
|
2.57 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.40 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.43 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.9%
|
1.28 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.00 |
Portland Timbers
St. Louis City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Portland Timbers
28 matches
St. Louis City
27 matches
| Portland Timbers | Statistic | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 11 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 52 | Goals For | 40 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.57 | Shots On Goal | 4.57 |
| 12.87 | Total Shots | 13.74 |
| 4.57 | Corners | 5.65 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features St. Louis City's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward St. Louis City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St. Louis City in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Portland Timbers sit 11 with 28 points after 22 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 39:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), Kristoffer Velde (3 goals), Cole Bassett (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira Da Costa (6 assists), Kristoffer Velde (5 assists), Brandon Bye (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 22 matches, St. Louis City have collected 34 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 33:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Simon Becher (2 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Tomas Totland (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 2 times, St. Louis City won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | 33 | 49 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 44 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
St. Louis City
Away
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | 9 | 44 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 41 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 36 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Portland Timbers
Home
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 |
L
W
L
L
L
|