Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
90.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
18.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
82%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Portland Timbers
15 matches
Sporting Kansas City
16 matches
| Portland Timbers | Statistic | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 21 | Goals For | 13 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.81 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.1 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 10.9 | Total Shots | 6.9 |
| 3.8 | Corners | 3 |
| 45.5% | Ball Possession | 43.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sporting Kansas City. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Portland Timbers sit 13 with 10 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 13:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Velde (3 goals), K. Kelsy (2 goals), A. Lassiter (1 goals), with creative support from C. Bassett (2 assists), K. Kelsy (1 assists), Antony (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sporting Kansas City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 5 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 8:26 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Joveljic (5 goals), Jacob Bartlett (1 goals), L. Johnsen (1 goals), with creative support from C. Harris (1 assists), J. Davis (1 assists), J. Reynolds (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 10 times, Sporting Kansas City won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:23 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Portland Timbers
6
3
5
2
5
6
Lineups
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
DC United
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
DC United
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 37:16 | 21 | 32 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:19 | 15 | 32 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:24 | 8 | 26 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 23 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19:24 | -5 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 19 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Portland Timbers
Home
|
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 29:31 | -2 | 18 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 17 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22:32 | -10 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
Away
|
16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18:40 | -22 | 14 |
W
L
L
W
W
|