🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Providence Park
Referee: A. Da Silva
Portland Timbers
Match Timeline
FC Dallas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
Kamal Miller
Portland Timbers
45'
P. Delgado · Assist: J. Valiente
FC Dallas
🔄
55'
J. Caicedo ↔ D. Chara
Portland Timbers
🔄
55'
A. Lassiter ↔ K. Velde
Portland Timbers
🟨
59'
Herman Johansson
FC Dallas
🔄
62'
S. Moreno ↔ S. Sarver
FC Dallas
🔄
62'
P. Delgado ↔ B. Kamungo
FC Dallas
🔄
62'
L. Farrington ↔ P. Musa
FC Dallas
66'
K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers
🔄
81'
K. Kelsy ↔ F. Mora
Portland Timbers
🔄
81'
C. Bassett ↔ A. Aravena
Portland Timbers
🔄
84'
H. Johansson ↔ S. Ibeagha
FC Dallas
🔄
84'
J. Valiente ↔ R. Binyamin
FC Dallas
88'
P. Musa
FC Dallas
🟨
90+4'
Diego Chará
Portland Timbers
🟨
90'
Brandon Bye
Portland Timbers
🟨
90+6'
Sebastien Ibeagha
FC Dallas
90'
F. Mora · Assist: K. Velde
Portland Timbers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.7%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Portland Timbers Win 30.9%
Draw 6.4%
FC Dallas Win 62.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers1.55
FC Dallas1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WWDLW
35 GF / 38 GA
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WLDWL
38 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
2
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
13
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
13
4.73
Shots on Goal
4.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 20 matches
FC Dallas FC Dallas 19 matches
Portland Timbers Statistic FC Dallas
6 Wins 9
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 5
35 Goals For 38
38 Goals Against 24
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
13 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 4
4.73 Shots On Goal 4.73
12.67 Total Shots 12.07
4.53 Corners 4.47
49.9% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Dallas's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Dallas. FC Dallas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. FC Dallas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 25 points while Portland Timbers sit 13 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Portland Timbers expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Dallas in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Dallas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 14 points from 14 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 22:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through K. Kelsy (5 goals), K. Velde (4 goals), Antony (2 goals), with creative support from D. Da Costa (3 assists), K. Kelsy (2 assists), C. Bassett (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 25 points after 15 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a 30:22 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on P. Musa (12 goals), Logan Farrington (6 goals), Sam Sarver (3 goals), with creative support from P. Musa (2 assists), Logan Farrington (2 assists), Herman Johansson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 4 times, FC Dallas won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1 / FC Dallas 4-4-2
Missing players: Portland Timbers 3, FC Dallas 2
H2H summary: Portland Timbers wins 4, draws 6, FC Dallas wins 5
Stats
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
FC Dallas FC Dallas
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
592 Total passes 365
505 Passes accurate 290
2.40 expected_goals 1.01
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Portland Timbers
Formation
FC Dallas
J. Pantemis
J. Pantemis
B. Bye
B. Bye
F. Surman
F. Surman
K. Miller
K. Miller
J. Fory
J. Fory
J. Caicedo
J. Caicedo
A. Lassiter
A. Lassiter
C. Bassett
C. Bassett
D. Da Costa
D. Da Costa
Antony
Antony
K. Kelsy
K. Kelsy
Daniel
Daniel
H. Johansson
H. Johansson
O. Urhoghide
O. Urhoghide
S. Moore
S. Moore
N. Norris
N. Norris
J. Valiente
🎯
J. Valiente
C. Cappis
C. Cappis
Kaick
Kaick
P. Delgado
P. Delgado
S. Moreno
S. Moreno
L. Farrington
L. Farrington
Portland Timbers 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
41
J. Pantemis
G
5
B. Bye
🟨 90'
D
20
F. Surman
D
4
K. Miller
🟨 37'
D
27
J. Fory
D
30
J. Caicedo
↓ 55'
M
7
A. Lassiter
↓ 55'
M
17
C. Bassett
↓ 81'
M
10
D. Da Costa
M
11
Antony
M
19
K. Kelsy
⚽ 66' ↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
25
T. Muse
G
21
D. Chara
↑ 55' 🟨 90+4'
M
9
F. Mora
⚽ 90' ↑ 81'
F
15
E. Miller
D
80
J. Ortiz
M
28
A. Aravena
↑ 81'
F
6
A. Bonetig
D
99
K. Velde
🎯 90' ↑ 55'
F
23
I. Smith
D
FC Dallas 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
42
Daniel
G
14
H. Johansson
↓ 84' 🟨 59'
D
3
O. Urhoghide
D
18
S. Moore
D
32
N. Norris
D
21
J. Valiente
🎯 45' ↓ 84'
M
12
C. Cappis
M
55
Kaick
M
8
P. Delgado
⚽ 45' ↓ 62'
M
10
S. Moreno
↓ 62'
F
23
L. Farrington
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
40
J. Sirois
G
25
S. Ibeagha
↑ 84' 🟨 90+6'
D
28
S. Sarver
↑ 62'
F
77
B. Kamungo
↑ 62'
F
6
R. Binyamin
↑ 84'
M
11
A. A. Julio Santos
F
9
P. Musa
⚽ 88' ↑ 62'
F
5
L. Abubakar
D
27
C. Swann
M
Last matches: Portland Timbers
20.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Diego
3
1
W
16.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
02.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
26.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
17.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
5
1
W
24.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
1
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
2
2
D
10.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
6
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
2
L
26.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Diego
2
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
0
2
L
11.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
15.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
08.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
4
L
28.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
0
2
L
22.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
4
3
W
Last matches: FC Dallas
20.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
4
3
W
17.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Austin
2
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
0
D
26.07.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Diego
0
1
L
24.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
14.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
2
D
12.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
DC United
4
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo
4
3
W
15.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Diego
3
3
D
08.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Nashville SC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Toronto FC
3
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
H2H: Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
23.07.26
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
2
2
D
28.09.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
2
2
D
10.08.25
H2H
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
2
0
L
06.10.24
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
0
0
D
05.07.24
H2H
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
3
2
L
12.06.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
0
W
02.04.23
H2H
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
1
1
D
07.08.22
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
1
D
20.03.22
H2H
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
4
1
L
18.07.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
0
W
02.05.21
H2H
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
4
1
L
23.11.20
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
1
D
01.07.19
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
0
W
14.04.19
H2H
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
2
1
L
01.11.18
H2H
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
1
2
W
Last matches: Portland Timbers
20.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Diego
3
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
26.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
24.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
1
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
6
0
W
11.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
4
L
22.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
DC United
0
0
D
H2H at home: Portland Timbers
23.07.26
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
2
2
D
28.09.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
2
2
D
06.10.24
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
0
0
D
12.06.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
0
W
07.08.22
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
1
D
18.07.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
0
W
23.11.20
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
1
D
01.07.19
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Dallas
20.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
4
3
W
17.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Austin
2
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
0
D
26.07.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Diego
0
1
L
24.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
02.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
DC United
4
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Portimonense
4
0
W
H2H away: FC Dallas
23.07.26
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
2
2
D
28.09.25
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
2
2
D
06.10.24
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
0
0
D
12.06.23
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
0
L
07.08.22
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
1
D
18.07.21
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
0
L
23.11.20
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
1
D
01.07.19
H2H
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
1
0
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 2 6 29:24 5 38
W W W W W
2 19 11 4 4 40:18 22 37
L W D D L
3 21 10 4 7 35:21 14 34
L L D W W
4 20 10 3 7 38:28 10 33
L L L D L
5 20 9 6 5 38:29 9 33
W W D L D
6 20 8 6 6 28:26 2 30
D W D W W
7 20 9 1 10 30:25 5 28
W W W L W
8 19 8 4 7 33:30 3 28
L D D L L
9 20 8 3 9 37:36 1 27
W L W W D
10 21 6 7 8 25:30 -5 25
W L D D L
11 20 6 7 7 22:28 -6 25
L D D D L
12 19 7 3 9 21:26 -5 24
L L L L L
13 20 6 6 8 34:32 2 24
L W D W L
14 20 5 5 10 25:39 -14 20
W L L L W
15 20 4 3 13 19:49 -30 15
D L L L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Portland Timbers 3 missing
-
J. Mosquera
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
O. Fernandez
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
G. Guerra
Missing Fixture Abdominal strain
OUT
FC Dallas 2 missing
-
Ramiro
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
Geovane Jesus
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT