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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
25.10.2026 02:30
Providence Park

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Portland Timbers Win 34%
Draw 16.8%
Charlotte Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers1.58
Charlotte1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WWDLW
59 GF / 65 GA
Charlotte Charlotte
WLDWL
59 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
25
BTTS Yes
23
24
Over 2.5
23
4.47
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 35 matches
Charlotte Charlotte 34 matches
Portland Timbers Statistic Charlotte
10 Wins 16
9 Draws 8
16 Losses 10
59 Goals For 59
65 Goals Against 48
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
25 BTTS Yes 23
31 Over 1.5 26
24 Over 2.5 23
17 Over 3.5 15
3 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 7
4.47 Shots On Goal 4.8
13.27 Total Shots 11.63
4.67 Corners 4.67
51% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Charlotte's more proactive style and Portland Timbers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Charlotte. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Portland Timbers have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 33 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 51:56 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), K. Velde (6 goals), David Pereira da Costa (4 goals), with creative support from David Pereira da Costa (7 assists), K. Velde (5 assists), A. Lassiter (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Charlotte Analysis

Placed 5 with 47 points from 30 outings, Charlotte continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 53:45 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Toklomati Giorno (10 goals), Pep Biel (5 goals), L. Abada (4 goals), with creative support from Pep Biel (5 assists), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), A. Saint-Maximin (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 0 times, Charlotte won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: Portland Timbers 4-3-3 / Charlotte 4-3-3
H2H summary: Portland Timbers wins 0, draws 0, Charlotte wins 2

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 7 7 63:31 32 55
W D D L D
2 30 14 9 7 56:41 15 51
L D W W W
3 30 14 9 7 55:47 8 51
D W L W D
4 30 13 9 8 52:42 10 48
D D D W D
5 30 13 8 9 41:39 2 47
D D D L D
6 31 12 10 9 48:33 15 46
D W D L D
7 30 11 9 10 39:37 2 42
D L W W W
8 31 10 10 11 43:52 -9 40
D W L W W
9 30 11 6 13 41:41 0 39
D D D L D
10 30 10 6 14 45:48 -3 36
W D L W L
11 30 9 7 14 51:56 -5 34
D L D L L
12 30 8 10 12 53:56 -3 34
D D L D D
13 30 8 10 12 47:55 -8 34
W D D L L
14 30 7 10 13 38:56 -18 31
L L L D D
15 30 6 4 20 36:75 -39 22
L L D L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)