Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Portland Timbers
Atlanta United FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Portland Timbers
30 matches
Atlanta United FC
29 matches
| Portland Timbers | Statistic | Atlanta United FC |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 14 |
| 55 | Goals For | 37 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.48 | Shots On Goal | 3.96 |
| 13.16 | Total Shots | 13.04 |
| 4.76 | Corners | 5.08 |
| 50.7% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Portland Timbers's more proactive style and Atlanta United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlanta United FC. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Portland Timbers sit 8 with 32 points after 24 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 46:45 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), K. Velde (6 goals), C. Bassett (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira da Costa (7 assists), K. Velde (5 assists), C. Bassett (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Atlanta United FC sit 14 with 22 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 14 defeats with a 29:43 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Lobzhanidze (4 goals), M. Almirón (3 goals), A. Fortune (2 goals), with creative support from A. Miranchuk (3 assists), S. Lobzhanidze (2 assists), E. Báez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 1 times, Atlanta United FC won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:12 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53:23 | 30 | 46 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:35 | 7 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 40 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Portland Timbers
Home
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 30 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 29 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26:59 | -33 | 18 |
W
L
L
L
D
|