ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
19.04.2026 14:00
Vale Park
Referee: E. Bell
Port Vale
Match Timeline
Wigan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
D. Brown ↔ M. Sherif
Port Vale
🔄
60'
D. Costelloe ↔ R. Trevitt
Wigan
🔄
68'
O. Hernandez ↔ J. Lawrence-Gabriel
Port Vale
🔄
71'
L. Gordon ↔ J. Headley
Port Vale
🔄
74'
R. Borges Rodrigues ↔ J. Hungbo
Wigan
🔄
74'
M. Smith ↔ H. Bettoni
Wigan
🔄
78'
R. Croasdale ↔ B. Waine
Port Vale
🔄
78'
J. Shipley ↔ G. Hall
Port Vale
🔄
86'
C. Wright ↔ C. Saydee
Wigan
🟨
90+8'
James Carragher
Wigan

Port Vale vs Wigan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
56.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76%
-
Probability Distribution
Port Vale Win 41.1%
Draw 5.9%
Wigan Win 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
Port Vale1.07
Wigan1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Port Vale Port Vale
WWDLW
42 GF / 63 GA
Wigan Wigan
WLDWL
53 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
15
BTTS Yes
22
18
Over 2.5
18
3.09
Shots on Goal
3.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Port Vale Port Vale 47 matches
Wigan Wigan 47 matches
Port Vale Statistic Wigan
14 Wins 15
11 Draws 15
22 Losses 17
42 Goals For 53
63 Goals Against 63
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
15 BTTS Yes 22
24 Over 1.5 35
18 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 10
16 Clean Sheets 13
22 Failed To Score 14
3.09 Shots On Goal 3.23
10.83 Total Shots 9.49
4.79 Corners 4.85
44.2% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Wigan. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Port Vale expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Wigan in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wigan having the stronger overall control. Wigan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 55 points while Port Vale sit 22 on 38, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Port Vale Analysis

With 38 points from 41 games and a place of 22, Port Vale still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 30:54 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Tolaj (16 goals), D. Cole (6 goals), R. Croasdale (4 goals), with creative support from R. Curtis (6 assists), L. Tolaj (4 assists), R. Paton (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wigan Analysis

So far, Wigan have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 55 points from 43 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 13 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 46:56 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Callum Wright (7 goals), F. Murray (5 goals), P. Mullin (4 goals), with creative support from F. Murray (8 assists), Callum Wright (6 assists), C. Saydee (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Port Vale won 4 times, Wigan won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Port Vale's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Port Vale 3-5-2 / Wigan 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Port Vale wins 4, draws 2, Wigan wins 2

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan Away
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two