Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
56.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
76%
|
- |
Port Vale
Wigan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Port Vale
47 matches
Wigan
47 matches
| Port Vale | Statistic | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 15 |
| 11 | Draws | 15 |
| 22 | Losses | 17 |
| 42 | Goals For | 53 |
| 63 | Goals Against | 63 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 22 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 3.09 | Shots On Goal | 3.23 |
| 10.83 | Total Shots | 9.49 |
| 4.79 | Corners | 4.85 |
| 44.2% | Ball Possession | 42.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Wigan. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Port Vale expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Wigan in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wigan having the stronger overall control. Wigan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 55 points while Port Vale sit 22 on 38, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
With 38 points from 41 games and a place of 22, Port Vale still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 30:54 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Tolaj (16 goals), D. Cole (6 goals), R. Croasdale (4 goals), with creative support from R. Curtis (6 assists), L. Tolaj (4 assists), R. Paton (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Wigan have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 55 points from 43 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 13 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 46:56 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Callum Wright (7 goals), F. Murray (5 goals), P. Mullin (4 goals), with creative support from F. Murray (8 assists), Callum Wright (6 assists), C. Saydee (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Port Vale won 3 times, Wigan won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Port Vale's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
Port Vale
3
1
9
6
5
1
Lineups
Port Vale
Lincoln
Port Vale
Stockport County
Port Vale
Plymouth
Port Vale
Cardiff
Port Vale
Peterborough
Port Vale
Barnsley
Port Vale
Rotherham
Port Vale
Chelsea
Port Vale
Wycombe
Port Vale
Doncaster
Port Vale
Bolton
Port Vale
Blackpool
Port Vale
Huddersfield
Port Vale
Bradford
Port Vale
Sunderland
Port Vale
Bristol City
Port Vale
Luton
Port Vale
Northampton
Port Vale
Reading
Port Vale
Stevenage
Wigan
Stevenage
Wigan
AFC Wimbledon
Wigan
Rotherham
Wigan
Mansfield Town
Wigan
Northampton
Wigan
Leyton Orient
Wigan
Reading
Wigan
Exeter City
Wigan
Barnsley
Wigan
Bradford
Wigan
Plymouth
Wigan
Blackpool
Wigan
Huddersfield
Wigan
Stockport County
Wigan
Luton
Wigan
Arsenal
Wigan
Reading
Wigan
Peterborough
Wigan
Lincoln
Wigan
Wycombe
Port Vale
Lincoln
Port Vale
Barnsley
Port Vale
Rotherham
Port Vale
Bolton
Port Vale
Huddersfield
Port Vale
Bradford
Port Vale
Sunderland
Port Vale
Bristol City
Port Vale
Luton
Port Vale
Reading
Port Vale
Burton Albion
Port Vale
AFC Wimbledon
Port Vale
Exeter City
Port Vale
Fleetwood Town
Port Vale
Blackpool
Port Vale
Peterborough
Port Vale
Bristol Rovers
Port Vale
Plymouth
Port Vale
Wycombe
Port Vale
Maldon & Tiptree
Wigan
Stevenage
Wigan
Northampton
Wigan
Reading
Wigan
Barnsley
Wigan
Blackpool
Wigan
Stockport County
Wigan
Arsenal
Wigan
Peterborough
Wigan
Wycombe
Wigan
Doncaster
Wigan
Preston
Wigan
Cardiff
Wigan
Burton Albion
Wigan
Bradford
Wigan
Huddersfield
Wigan
AFC Wimbledon
Wigan
Exeter City
Wigan
Mansfield Town
Wigan
Plymouth
Wigan
Bolton
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Wigan
Away
|
46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 |
Port Vale
Home
|
46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|