Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
65.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
80%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Port Vale
Lincoln
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Port Vale
51 matches
Lincoln
46 matches
| Port Vale | Statistic | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 30 |
| 12 | Draws | 11 |
| 24 | Losses | 5 |
| 45 | Goals For | 88 |
| 67 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.91 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 24 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.14 | Shots On Goal | 4.62 |
| 10.92 | Total Shots | 12.53 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 4.27 |
| 44.5% | Ball Possession | 42.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Lincoln's more proactive style and Port Vale's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Lincoln look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lincoln carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 100 points while Port Vale sit 22 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Port Vale expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Lincoln in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lincoln having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Lincoln.
With 42 points from 45 games and a place of 22, Port Vale still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 23 losses, together with goals at 36:59, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Tolaj (17 goals), D. Cole (6 goals), R. Croasdale (4 goals), with creative support from L. Tolaj (6 assists), R. Curtis (6 assists), J. Shipley (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 1 place with 100 points from 45 games, Lincoln bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 30 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 87:41, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Jack Moylan (11 goals), R. Hackett-Fairchild (11 goals), Robert Street (9 goals), with creative support from R. Hackett-Fairchild (7 assists), Jack Moylan (5 assists), C. McGrandles (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 12 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Port Vale won 2 times, Lincoln won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:23 from Port Vale's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.
Port Vale
1
3
8
3
4
5
Lineups
Port Vale
Stockport County
Port Vale
Plymouth
Port Vale
Cardiff
Port Vale
Wigan
Port Vale
Peterborough
Port Vale
Barnsley
Port Vale
Rotherham
Port Vale
Chelsea
Port Vale
Wycombe
Port Vale
Doncaster
Port Vale
Bolton
Port Vale
Blackpool
Port Vale
Huddersfield
Port Vale
Bradford
Port Vale
Sunderland
Port Vale
Bristol City
Port Vale
Luton
Port Vale
Northampton
Port Vale
Reading
Port Vale
Stevenage
Lincoln
Wycombe
Lincoln
Doncaster
Lincoln
Stevenage
Lincoln
Leyton Orient
Lincoln
Reading
Lincoln
AFC Wimbledon
Lincoln
Rotherham
Lincoln
Huddersfield
Lincoln
Stockport County
Lincoln
Exeter City
Lincoln
Cardiff
Lincoln
Blackpool
Lincoln
Mansfield Town
Lincoln
Northampton
Lincoln
Bolton
Lincoln
Plymouth
Lincoln
Wigan
Lincoln
Bradford
Lincoln
Burton Albion
Lincoln
Luton
Port Vale
Wigan
Port Vale
Barnsley
Port Vale
Rotherham
Port Vale
Bolton
Port Vale
Huddersfield
Port Vale
Bradford
Port Vale
Sunderland
Port Vale
Bristol City
Port Vale
Luton
Port Vale
Reading
Port Vale
Burton Albion
Port Vale
AFC Wimbledon
Port Vale
Exeter City
Port Vale
Fleetwood Town
Port Vale
Blackpool
Port Vale
Peterborough
Port Vale
Bristol Rovers
Port Vale
Plymouth
Port Vale
Wycombe
Port Vale
Maldon & Tiptree
Lincoln
Doncaster
Lincoln
Stevenage
Lincoln
Reading
Lincoln
Huddersfield
Lincoln
Exeter City
Lincoln
Cardiff
Lincoln
Mansfield Town
Lincoln
Plymouth
Lincoln
Wigan
Lincoln
Luton
Lincoln
Barnsley
Lincoln
Stockport County
Lincoln
Blackpool
Lincoln
Wycombe
Lincoln
Rotherham
Lincoln
Salford City
Lincoln
Bradford
Lincoln
Leyton Orient
Lincoln
Peterborough
Lincoln
Burton Albion
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lincoln
Away
|
46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 |
Port Vale
Home
|
46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|