COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.4%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Popayan Win 27.2%
Draw 14.4%
Envigado Win 58.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Popayan0.93
Envigado1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Popayan Popayan
WWDLW
18 GF / 25 GA
Envigado Envigado
WLDWL
39 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
11
BTTS Yes
15
7
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Popayan Popayan 19 matches
Envigado Envigado 28 matches
Popayan Statistic Envigado
3 Wins 15
8 Draws 6
8 Losses 7
18 Goals For 39
25 Goals Against 25
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
11 BTTS Yes 15
14 Over 1.5 20
7 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 12
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Envigado's more proactive style and Popayan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Envigado having the stronger overall control. Popayan have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Envigado. Envigado carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 48 points while Popayan sit 14 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Popayan Analysis

With 17 points from 19 games and a place of 14, Popayan still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 18:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Envigado Analysis

Placed 4 with 48 points from 27 outings, Envigado continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 37:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Popayan won 0 times, Envigado won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Popayan's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
H2H summary: Popayan wins 0, draws 0, Envigado wins 1