Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ponte Preta
7 matches
Sport Recife
7 matches
| Ponte Preta | Statistic | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 0 |
| 5 | Goals For | 8 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.57 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.86 | Shots On Goal | 4.57 |
| 10.43 | Total Shots | 13.14 |
| 4.43 | Corners | 5.14 |
| 45.1% | Ball Possession | 52.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sport Recife's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sport Recife. Sport Recife carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 13 points while Ponte Preta sit 16 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Ponte Preta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Sport Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Recife having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Ponte Preta sit 16 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Willian Pottker (2 goals), Bryan Borges (1 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), with creative support from Luis Phelipe (1 assists), Brandao (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sport Recife approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 13 points after 7 outings. With 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:4, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Chrystian Barletta (3 goals), Pedro Perotti (3 goals), Madson (1 goals), with creative support from Marlon Douglas (2 assists), de Pena Carlos (1 assists), Augusto (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 3 times, Sport Recife won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:24 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Ponte Preta
5
4
5
4
6
2
Lineups
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
Goias
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Juventude
Sport Recife
CRB
Sport Recife
Ceara
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
Avai
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Goias
Sport Recife
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Juventude
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
Cuiaba