Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
62.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ponte Preta
13 matches
Novorizontino
13 matches
| Ponte Preta | Statistic | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 2 |
| 10 | Goals For | 20 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.54 |
| 1.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.54 | Shots On Goal | 4.54 |
| 10.85 | Total Shots | 13.38 |
| 5.54 | Corners | 5.15 |
| 44.3% | Ball Possession | 45.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Novorizontino's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Novorizontino. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Novorizontino carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 20 points while Ponte Preta sit 19 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Ponte Preta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
With 8 points from 13 games and a place of 19, Ponte Preta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 10:25, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Willian Pottker (2 goals), Bryan Borges (1 goals), Danilo Barcelos (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Novorizontino approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 20 points after 12 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a 18:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Robson (6 goals), Romulo (3 goals), Carlao (2 goals), with creative support from Romulo (6 assists), Juninho (3 assists), Robson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 4 times, Novorizontino won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:16 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Novorizontino
Away
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 41:36 | 5 | 47 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 47 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:36 | -1 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Home
|
29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|