Ponte Preta vs Goias Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
87.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
69.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Ponte Preta
Goias
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ponte Preta
17 matches
Goias
17 matches
| Ponte Preta | Statistic | Goias |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 7 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 13 | Losses | 6 |
| 11 | Goals For | 18 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 0.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.24 | Shots On Goal | 3.35 |
| 10.59 | Total Shots | 10.35 |
| 5.06 | Corners | 4 |
| 43.1% | Ball Possession | 48.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Goias carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 25 points while Ponte Preta sit 19 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 3-3-1-3 and Goias in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Goias. Ponte Preta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 8 points from 17 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 11:33, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through William Pottker (2 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), Elvis (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Goias sit 9 with 25 points after 17 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 18:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), Kadu (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Rodrigo Soares (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 3 times, Goias won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 48:25 | 23 | 50 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30:17 | 13 | 50 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 48 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 |
Goias
Away
|
28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 13 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:31 | 8 | 38 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21:48 | -27 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Home
|
28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16:62 | -46 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|