BRAZIL SERIE B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 85.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
85.9%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-3
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ponte Preta Win 7.6%
Draw 6.5%
Goias Win 85.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ponte Preta0.93
Goias1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WWDLW
11 GF / 33 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
18 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
8
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
6
3.24
Shots on Goal
3.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 17 matches
Goias Goias 17 matches
Ponte Preta Statistic Goias
2 Wins 7
2 Draws 4
13 Losses 6
11 Goals For 18
33 Goals Against 23
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
8 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 5
3.24 Shots On Goal 3.35
10.59 Total Shots 10.35
5.06 Corners 4
43.1% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Goias carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 24 points while Ponte Preta sit 19 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ponte Preta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Goias. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 3-3-1-3 and Goias in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control.

Ponte Preta Analysis

Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 8 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats with a 11:33 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on William Pottker (2 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), Elvis (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Goias Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Goias have collected 24 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 16:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), Esli García (1 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Juninho (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 3 times, Goias won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Ponte Preta 3-3-1-3 / Goias 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ponte Preta wins 3, draws 4, Goias wins 3
Last matches: Ponte Preta
08.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
03.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
CRB
2
4
L
18.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Londrina
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
0
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Avai
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Ceara
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
2
L
Last matches: Goias
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
H2H: Ponte Preta vs Goias
17.08.24
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
1
D
28.04.24
H2H
Goias
Ponte Preta
3
0
L
03.11.21
H2H
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
2
D
23.07.21
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
W
21.09.18
H2H
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
2
D
06.06.18
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
W
16.09.15
H2H
Goias
Ponte Preta
1
2
W
14.06.15
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
0
D
13.11.13
H2H
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
0
L
18.08.13
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
1
L
Last matches: Ponte Preta
08.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0
2
L
09.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Londrina
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
1
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Ceara
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ponte Preta
17.08.24
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
1
D
23.07.21
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
W
06.06.18
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
W
14.06.15
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
0
D
18.08.13
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
1
L
Last matches: Goias
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
H2H away: Goias
17.08.24
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
1
D
23.07.21
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
L
06.06.18
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
L
14.06.15
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
0
D
18.08.13
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
1
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 17 9 4 4 22:18 4 31
W W W W L
4 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L W W W D
5 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
6 17 8 4 5 20:17 3 28
L W W D L
7 17 7 5 5 23:16 7 26
D L L L D
8 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
9
Goias Away
17 7 4 6 18:23 -5 25
D W W L D
10 17 6 6 5 19:19 0 24
W L W D D
11 17 5 9 3 14:11 3 24
D W D L W
12 16 5 7 4 16:16 0 22
L W L D D
13 17 6 3 8 21:21 0 21
L D L L D
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15 17 5 5 7 26:31 -5 20
D L W D D
16 16 5 3 8 24:24 0 18
W D W W L
17 16 4 5 7 15:20 -5 17
L L L D W
18 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
W L L W L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
L L L W L
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