BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Moisés Lucarelli
Referee: C. Deretti
Ponte Preta
Match Timeline
Goias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
Kadu · Assist: Cadu
Goias
🟨
23'
Sergio Palacios
Ponte Preta
🟨
24'
Ramon Menezes
Goias
VAR
44'
Kevyson
Ponte Preta
45'
Elvis
Ponte Preta
45'
Kadu · Assist: Lucas Lima
Goias
🔄
46'
Juan Rodrigues ↔ Baianinho
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
David da Hora ↔ Brandao
Ponte Preta
🔄
57'
Ramon Menezes ↔ Lucas Ribeiro
Goias
🔄
58'
Miguel Morais ↔ Diego Porfirio
Ponte Preta
VAR
63'
Jean Carlos
Goias
66'
Cadu
Goias
🔄
66'
Rodrigo Soares ↔ Luisao
Goias
🔄
67'
Djalma Silva ↔ Nicolas
Goias
🔄
67'
Lucas Lima ↔ Lourenco
Goias
🔄
74'
M. L. Diego ↔ Nicolas Araujo
Ponte Preta
🟨
82'
Lucas Ribeiro
Goias
🔄
82'
Jean Carlos ↔ Gege
Goias
🔄
86'
Julio ↔ Rodriguinho
Ponte Preta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
87.1%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ponte Preta Win 6.9%
Draw 6%
Goias Win 87.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ponte Preta0.93
Goias1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WWDLW
11 GF / 33 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
18 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
8
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
6
3.24
Shots on Goal
3.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 17 matches
Goias Goias 17 matches
Ponte Preta Statistic Goias
2 Wins 7
2 Draws 4
13 Losses 6
11 Goals For 18
33 Goals Against 23
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
8 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 5
3.24 Shots On Goal 3.35
10.59 Total Shots 10.35
5.06 Corners 4
43.1% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Goias carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 25 points while Ponte Preta sit 19 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 3-3-1-3 and Goias in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Goias. Ponte Preta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Ponte Preta Analysis

Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 8 points from 17 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 11:33, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through William Pottker (2 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), Elvis (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Goias Analysis

Goias sit 9 with 25 points after 17 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 18:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), Kadu (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Rodrigo Soares (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 3 times, Goias won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Ponte Preta 3-3-1-3 / Goias 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ponte Preta wins 3, draws 4, Goias wins 4
Stats
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
Goias Goias
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
0
5 Corner Kicks 2
20 Fouls 19
0 Offsides 3
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 0
7 Shots insidebox 4
7 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
298 Total passes 372
232 Passes accurate 287
2.01 expected_goals 1.03
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ponte Preta
Formation
Goias
Guilherme Viana
Guilherme Viana
S. Palacios
S. Palacios
M. L. Diego
M. L. Diego
Lucas Cunha
Lucas Cunha
Julio
Julio
Juan Rodrigues
Juan Rodrigues
Danilo Barcelos
Danilo Barcelos
Miguel Morais
Miguel Morais
Kevyson
Kevyson
Elvis
Elvis
David da Hora
David da Hora
Thiago Rodrigues
Thiago Rodrigues
Rodrigo Soares
Rodrigo Soares
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Ramon Menezes
Ramon Menezes
Djalma Silva
Djalma Silva
Filipe Machado
Filipe Machado
Juninho
Juninho
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos
Lucas Lima
🎯
Lucas Lima
Kadu
⚽ 2
Kadu
Cadu
🎯
Cadu
Ponte Preta 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
1
Guilherme Viana
23
S. Palacios
🟨 23'
D
4
M. L. Diego
↓ 74'
D
3
Lucas Cunha
D
2
Julio
↓ 86'
M
6
Juan Rodrigues
↓ 46'
M
14
Danilo Barcelos
M
17
Miguel Morais
↓ 58'
M
32
Kevyson
M
10
Elvis
⚽ 45'
F
18
David da Hora
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
30
Vinicius Ferrari
13
Diego Porfirio
↑ 58'
D
26
Baianinho
↑ 46'
F
16
Leo Gomes
M
90
Rodriguinho
↑ 86'
F
21
Brandao
↑ 46'
F
35
Gustavo Telles
M
8
Andre Lima
M
7
Nicolas Araujo
↑ 74'
15
Gustavo Almeida
D
Goias 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Thiago Rodrigues
G
2
Rodrigo Soares
↓ 66'
D
3
Luiz Felipe
D
4
Ramon Menezes
↓ 57' 🟨 24'
D
54
Djalma Silva
↓ 67'
D
5
Filipe Machado
M
8
Juninho
M
21
Jean Carlos
↓ 82'
10
Lucas Lima
🎯 45' ↓ 67'
M
40
Kadu
⚽ 7' ⚽ 45'
M
18
Cadu
⚽ 66' 🎯 7'
F
Substitutes
12
Ezequiel
G
9
Anselmo Ramon
F
6
Nicolas
↑ 67'
D
97
Lourenco
↑ 67'
M
17
Pedrinho
F
88
Brayann
M
28
Gege
↑ 82'
M
15
E. Garcia
F
14
Lucas Ribeiro
↑ 57' 🟨 82'
D
55
Baldoria
M
25
Luisao
↑ 66'
D
77
Halerrandrio
Last matches: Ponte Preta
23.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Avai
0
2
L
19.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
6
L
14.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
07.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Ceara
0
2
L
28.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
2
3
L
08.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
03.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
CRB
2
4
L
18.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Londrina
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
0
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Avai
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
L
Last matches: Goias
22.08.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.08.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
1
L
15.08.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
0
1
L
10.08.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
1
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
0
1
L
22.07.26
Ser
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
H2H: Ponte Preta vs Goias
18.07.26
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
2
L
17.08.24
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
1
D
28.04.24
H2H
Goias
Ponte Preta
3
0
L
03.11.21
H2H
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
2
D
23.07.21
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
W
21.09.18
H2H
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
2
D
06.06.18
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
W
16.09.15
H2H
Goias
Ponte Preta
1
2
W
14.06.15
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
0
D
13.11.13
H2H
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
0
L
18.08.13
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
1
L
Last matches: Ponte Preta
23.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Avai
0
2
L
14.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
28.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
1
D
08.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0
2
L
09.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Londrina
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
1
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Ceara
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ponte Preta
18.07.26
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
2
L
17.08.24
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
1
D
23.07.21
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
W
06.06.18
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
W
14.06.15
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
0
D
18.08.13
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
1
L
Last matches: Goias
22.08.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
1
1
D
15.08.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
28.06.26
Ser
Goias
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
H2H away: Goias
18.07.26
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
2
W
17.08.24
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
1
D
23.07.21
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
L
06.06.18
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
2
1
L
14.06.15
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
0
D
18.08.13
H2H
Ponte Preta
Goias
0
1
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11
Goias Away
24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation