BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: W. Oliveira
Ponte Preta
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
Marcelo Hermes · Assist: Willean Lepo
Criciuma
🟨
18'
Lucas Cunha
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
Diego Tavares ↔ Diego Porfirio
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
Andre Lima ↔ Baianinho
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
David da Hora ↔ Juan Rodrigues
Ponte Preta
62'
Baianinho
Ponte Preta
🔄
67'
R. Otero ↔ Jhonata Robert
Criciuma
🔄
67'
Waguininho ↔ Diego Goncalves
Criciuma
🟨
71'
Danilo Barcelos
Ponte Preta
🔄
81'
Fellipe Mateus ↔ Romarinho
Criciuma
🔄
83'
Brandao ↔ Miguel Morais
Ponte Preta
🟨
88'
Willean Lepo
Criciuma
🔄
89'
Eduardo ↔ Caue Santos
Criciuma
🟨
90+5'
Marcio Silva
Ponte Preta
🟨
90+5'
Elvis
Ponte Preta
🔄
90'
Gui Lobo ↔ Jean Irmer
Criciuma
90'
Marcelo Hermes · Assist: Luciano Castan
Criciuma

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ponte Preta Win 6%
Draw 6%
Criciuma Win 88%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ponte Preta0.65
Criciuma1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WWDLW
10 GF / 31 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
18 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
7
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
3
3.19
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 16 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 16 matches
Ponte Preta Statistic Criciuma
2 Wins 8
2 Draws 6
12 Losses 2
10 Goals For 18
31 Goals Against 11
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.69
7 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 2
3.19 Shots On Goal 3.81
10.56 Total Shots 13.13
5.31 Corners 6.06
42.8% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Criciuma's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Criciuma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 27 points while Ponte Preta sit 19 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Criciuma look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Criciuma.

Ponte Preta Analysis

With 8 points from 15 games and a place of 19, Ponte Preta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 10:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on William Pottker (2 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), Elvis (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 27 points after 15 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a 17:11 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Fellipe Mateus (3 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Waguininho (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 3 times, Criciuma won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
Predicted formations: Ponte Preta 4-2-3-1 / Criciuma 3-4-3
H2H summary: Ponte Preta wins 3, draws 6, Criciuma wins 3
Stats
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
Criciuma Criciuma
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
1 Corner Kicks 6
16 Fouls 11
5 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 11
5 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
267 Total passes 418
186 Passes accurate 334
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ponte Preta
Formation
Criciuma
Guilherme Viana
Guilherme Viana
S. Palacios
S. Palacios
Lucas Cunha
Lucas Cunha
Marcio Silva
Marcio Silva
Diego Tavares
Diego Tavares
David da Hora
David da Hora
Andre Lima
Andre Lima
Danilo Barcelos
Danilo Barcelos
Kevyson
Kevyson
Elvis
Elvis
Brandao
Brandao
Airton
Airton
Bruno Alves
Bruno Alves
Rodrigo
Rodrigo
Luciano Castan
🎯
Luciano Castan
Willean Lepo
🎯
Willean Lepo
Eduardo
Eduardo
Gui Lobo
Gui Lobo
Marcelo Hermes
⚽ 2
Marcelo Hermes
R. Otero
R. Otero
Waguininho
Waguininho
Fellipe Mateus
Fellipe Mateus
Ponte Preta 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Guilherme Viana
23
S. Palacios
3
Lucas Cunha
🟨 18'
44
Marcio Silva
🟨 90+5'
7
Diego Tavares
↓ 46'
18
David da Hora
↓ 46'
8
Andre Lima
↓ 46'
14
Danilo Barcelos
🟨 71'
32
Kevyson
10
Elvis
🟨 90+5'
21
Brandao
↓ 83'
Substitutes
30
Vinicius Ferrari
13
Diego Porfirio
↑ 46'
26
Baianinho
⚽ 62' ↑ 46'
90
Rodriguinho
17
Miguel Morais
↑ 83'
4
M. L. Diego
35
Gustavo Telles
19
Jonathan Cafu
15
Gustavo Almeida
6
Juan Rodrigues
↑ 46'
Criciuma 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
Airton
34
Bruno Alves
3
Rodrigo
4
Luciano Castan
🎯 90'
97
Willean Lepo
🎯 12' 🟨 88'
5
Eduardo
↓ 89'
8
Gui Lobo
↓ 90'
22
Marcelo Hermes
⚽ 12' ⚽ 90'
91
R. Otero
↓ 67'
13
Waguininho
↓ 67'
7
Fellipe Mateus
↓ 81'
Substitutes
70
Pedro Santos
1
Alisson
41
Jean Irmer
↑ 90'
10
Jhonata Robert
↑ 67'
31
Hiago Alves
77
Diego Goncalves
↑ 67'
11
Romarinho
↑ 81'
88
Caue Santos
↑ 89'
21
Joao Carlos
43
Ruan Carvalho
50
Thiaguinho
Last matches: Ponte Preta
23.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Avai
0
2
L
19.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
6
L
14.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
07.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Ceara
0
2
L
28.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
2
3
L
18.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
2
L
03.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
CRB
2
4
L
18.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Londrina
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
0
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Avai
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
L
Last matches: Criciuma
23.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
0
2
L
20.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
15.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
0
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
H2H: Ponte Preta vs Criciuma
08.07.26
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
02.08.23
H2H
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
29.10.22
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
1
D
15.07.22
H2H
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
09.04.21
H2H
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
04.09.19
H2H
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
03.05.19
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
1
D
15.08.18
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
3
1
W
21.04.18
H2H
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
0
1
W
03.11.13
H2H
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
11.08.13
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
3
1
W
Last matches: Ponte Preta
23.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Avai
0
2
L
14.08.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
28.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Goias
1
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0
2
L
09.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
1
2
L
01.06.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Londrina
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
1
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Ponte Preta
Ceara
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ponte Preta
08.07.26
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
22.04.23
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
L
29.10.22
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
1
D
03.05.19
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
1
D
15.08.18
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
3
1
W
11.08.13
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
3
1
W
Last matches: Criciuma
20.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
0
2
L
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
H2H away: Criciuma
08.07.26
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
W
22.04.23
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
2
W
29.10.22
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
1
D
03.05.19
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
1
1
D
15.08.18
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
3
1
L
11.08.13
H2H
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
3
1
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation