Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
88%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
77%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ponte Preta
16 matches
Criciuma
16 matches
| Ponte Preta | Statistic | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 8 |
| 2 | Draws | 6 |
| 12 | Losses | 2 |
| 10 | Goals For | 18 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.69 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.19 | Shots On Goal | 3.81 |
| 10.56 | Total Shots | 13.13 |
| 5.31 | Corners | 6.06 |
| 42.8% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Criciuma's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Criciuma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 27 points while Ponte Preta sit 19 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Criciuma look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Criciuma.
With 8 points from 15 games and a place of 19, Ponte Preta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 10:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on William Pottker (2 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), Elvis (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Criciuma come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 27 points after 15 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a 17:11 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Fellipe Mateus (3 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Waguininho (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 3 times, Criciuma won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Ponte Preta
4
4
5
9
2
4
Lineups
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Goias
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Novorizontino
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Criciuma
Ceara
Criciuma
Londrina
Criciuma
Avai
Criciuma
Operario-PR
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
Juventude
Criciuma
Cuiaba
Criciuma
CRB
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Novorizontino
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Criciuma
Avai
Criciuma
Operario-PR
Criciuma
Juventude
Criciuma
Cuiaba
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Goias
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Criciuma
Away
|
24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Home
|
24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|