Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw or Away |
84%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
61.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.8%
|
- |
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ponte Preta
5 matches
America Mineiro
5 matches
| Ponte Preta | Statistic | America Mineiro |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 4 | Goals For | 3 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.6 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.8 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 10.4 | Total Shots | 15.6 |
| 4.6 | Corners | 7.6 |
| 46.8% | Ball Possession | 60.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America Mineiro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ponte Preta expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and America Mineiro in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America Mineiro having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 4 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 2:5 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Bryan Borges (1 goals), Diego Tavares (1 goals), Luis Phelipe (1 goals), with creative support from Brandao (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
America Mineiro sit 20 with 2 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 3:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), with creative support from Willian Bigode (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Ponte Preta won 2 times, America Mineiro won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:18 from Ponte Preta's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Ponte Preta
3
4
4
5
3
2
Lineups
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Avai
America Mineiro
Ceara
America Mineiro
Londrina
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
Juventude
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
CRB
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
Goias
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Ceara
America Mineiro
Avai
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Juventude
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Goias
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 35 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 21:12 | 9 | 32 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 31 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 24:18 | 6 | 28 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:19 | 6 | 27 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29:32 | -3 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:24 | 0 | 24 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 24 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 20 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 19 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
Ponte Preta
Home
|
19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14:38 | -24 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 20 |
America Mineiro
Away
|
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13:31 | -18 | 8 |
L
D
D
L
L
|