UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Kiira Road Police Arena
Police
Match Timeline
Vipers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
60'
Vipers
Vipers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Police Win 27.1%
Draw 8%
Vipers Win 64.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Police1.08
Vipers1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Police Police
WWDLW
39 GF / 32 GA
Vipers Vipers
WLDWL
50 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
0.54
17
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Police Police 27 matches
Vipers Vipers 26 matches
Police Statistic Vipers
13 Wins 17
5 Draws 9
9 Losses 0
39 Goals For 50
32 Goals Against 14
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 0.54
17 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 12
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vipers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 60 points while Police sit 7 on 44, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vipers. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vipers having the stronger overall control.

Police Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Police have collected 44 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 39:32 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Ikamba (8 goals), L. Tezikya (5 goals), B. Obedi (4 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Vipers Analysis

Vipers come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 60 points from 27 matches. The record of 17 wins, 9 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 50:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Watambala (10 goals), A. Usama (9 goals), M. Karisa (6 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Police won 2 times, Vipers won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:26 from Police's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.77 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
H2H summary: Police wins 2, draws 1, Vipers wins 10
Last matches: Police
23.05.26
Pre
Police
Kitara
2
2
D
19.05.26
Pre
Police
Entebbe UPPC
1
1
D
06.05.26
Pre
Police
Calvary
0
1
L
29.04.26
Pre
Police
UPDF
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Police
Maroons
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Police
URA
2
1
W
16.04.26
Pre
Police
Mbarara City
2
1
W
08.04.26
Pre
Police
Express
1
3
L
13.03.26
Pre
Police
NEC
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pre
Police
SC Villa
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Police
KCCA
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Police
BUL
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Police
Buhimba Saints
1
1
D
12.02.26
Pre
Police
Lugazi
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Police
URA
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
Police
Vipers
1
4
L
21.01.26
Pre
Police
Calvary
2
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Police
KCCA
2
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
Police
BUL
3
1
W
10.12.25
Pre
Police
Lugazi
1
1
D
Last matches: Vipers
23.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Express
2
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Maroons
3
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
1
1
D
29.04.26
Pre
Vipers
KCCA
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Entebbe UPPC
3
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Vipers
SC Villa
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Kitara
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Calvary
1
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
Vipers
UPDF
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
3
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
Vipers
NEC
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Vipers
BUL
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
4
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Police
4
1
W
24.01.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
3
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
0
W
17.12.25
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Vipers
BUL
3
1
W
H2H: Police vs Vipers
12.05.26
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
0
D
27.01.26
H2H
Vipers
Police
4
1
L
06.03.25
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
1
L
25.10.24
H2H
Vipers
Police
2
1
L
21.05.22
H2H
Vipers
Police
5
0
L
17.10.21
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
2
L
26.06.21
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
0
D
19.02.21
H2H
Vipers
Police
3
2
L
23.05.20
H2H
Vipers
Police
0
0
D
09.10.19
H2H
Police
Vipers
1
3
L
23.04.19
H2H
Police
Vipers
1
2
L
09.12.18
H2H
Vipers
Police
1
0
L
04.05.18
H2H
Vipers
Police
2
0
L
14.10.17
H2H
Police
Vipers
2
1
W
14.04.17
H2H
Police
Vipers
2
0
W
Last matches: Police
19.05.26
Pre
Police
Entebbe UPPC
1
1
D
29.04.26
Pre
Police
UPDF
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Police
URA
2
1
W
13.03.26
Pre
Police
NEC
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pre
Police
SC Villa
1
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Police
BUL
0
2
L
12.02.26
Pre
Police
Lugazi
2
1
W
21.01.26
Pre
Police
Calvary
2
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Police
KCCA
2
0
W
03.12.25
Pre
Police
Buhimba Saints
4
0
W
27.11.25
Pre
Police
Kitara
1
2
L
29.10.25
Pre
Police
Maroons
2
1
W
02.10.25
Pre
Police
Express
2
1
W
26.09.25
Pre
Police
Mbarara City
1
1
D
H2H at home: Police
12.05.26
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
0
D
06.03.25
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
1
L
17.10.21
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
2
L
26.06.21
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
0
D
09.10.19
H2H
Police
Vipers
1
3
L
23.04.19
H2H
Police
Vipers
1
2
L
14.10.17
H2H
Police
Vipers
2
1
W
14.04.17
H2H
Police
Vipers
2
0
W
Last matches: Vipers
19.05.26
Pre
Vipers
Maroons
3
0
W
29.04.26
Pre
Vipers
KCCA
1
1
D
21.04.26
Pre
Vipers
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Vipers
SC Villa
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pre
Vipers
UPDF
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Vipers
Mbarara City
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
Vipers
BUL
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Vipers
URA
3
0
W
17.12.25
Pre
Vipers
Lugazi
2
1
W
09.12.25
Pre
Vipers
Calvary
0
0
D
05.12.25
Pre
Vipers
NEC
1
1
D
26.11.25
Pre
Vipers
Express
3
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Vipers
Entebbe UPPC
1
0
W
H2H away: Vipers
12.05.26
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
0
D
06.03.25
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
1
W
17.10.21
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
2
W
26.06.21
H2H
Police
Vipers
0
0
D
09.10.19
H2H
Police
Vipers
1
3
W
23.04.19
H2H
Police
Vipers
1
2
W
14.10.17
H2H
Police
Vipers
2
1
L
14.04.17
H2H
Police
Vipers
2
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League