UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Kiira Road Police Arena
Police
Match Timeline
Entebbe UPPC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
A. Kigozi · Assist: F. Kazibwe
Entebbe UPPC
83'
U. Kasumba
Police

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
59.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
75.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Police Win 62.3%
Draw 6.9%
Entebbe UPPC Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Police1.11
Entebbe UPPC0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Police Police
WWDLW
39 GF / 32 GA
Entebbe UPPC Entebbe UPPC
WLDWL
25 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.68
17
BTTS Yes
6
15
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Police Police 28 matches
Entebbe UPPC Entebbe UPPC 28 matches
Police Statistic Entebbe UPPC
13 Wins 13
6 Draws 8
9 Losses 7
39 Goals For 25
32 Goals Against 19
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.68
17 BTTS Yes 6
23 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 15
5 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Entebbe UPPC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Entebbe UPPC having the stronger overall control.

Police Analysis

So far, Police have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 45 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, while the 39:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Ikamba (8 goals), L. Tezikya (5 goals), B. Obedi (4 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Entebbe UPPC Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Entebbe UPPC have collected 47 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 25:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Kigozi (11 goals), F. Tumwine (2 goals), I. Bugembe (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Police won 1 times, Entebbe UPPC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Police's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
H2H summary: Police wins 1, draws 1, Entebbe UPPC wins 0
Last matches: Police
23.05.26
Pre
Police
Kitara
2
2
D
12.05.26
Pre
Police
Vipers
0
0
D
06.05.26
Pre
Police
Calvary
0
1
L
29.04.26
Pre
Police
UPDF
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Police
Maroons
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Police
URA
2
1
W
16.04.26
Pre
Police
Mbarara City
2
1
W
08.04.26
Pre
Police
Express
1
3
L
13.03.26
Pre
Police
NEC
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pre
Police
SC Villa
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Police
KCCA
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Police
BUL
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Police
Buhimba Saints
1
1
D
12.02.26
Pre
Police
Lugazi
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Police
URA
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
Police
Vipers
1
4
L
21.01.26
Pre
Police
Calvary
2
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Police
KCCA
2
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
Police
BUL
3
1
W
10.12.25
Pre
Police
Lugazi
1
1
D
Last matches: Entebbe UPPC
23.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
BUL
4
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
0
0
D
07.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
2
0
W
29.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Calvary
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Vipers
0
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
0
1
L
16.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Buhimba Saints
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
0
2
L
10.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
NEC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
1
0
W
27.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
0
0
D
21.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
1
0
W
18.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
1
0
W
11.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
2
0
W
H2H: Police vs Entebbe UPPC
19.05.26
H2H
Police
Entebbe UPPC
1
1
D
19.11.25
H2H
Entebbe UPPC
Police
0
2
W
Last matches: Police
12.05.26
Pre
Police
Vipers
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pre
Police
UPDF
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Police
URA
2
1
W
13.03.26
Pre
Police
NEC
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pre
Police
SC Villa
1
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Police
BUL
0
2
L
12.02.26
Pre
Police
Lugazi
2
1
W
21.01.26
Pre
Police
Calvary
2
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Police
KCCA
2
0
W
03.12.25
Pre
Police
Buhimba Saints
4
0
W
27.11.25
Pre
Police
Kitara
1
2
L
29.10.25
Pre
Police
Maroons
2
1
W
02.10.25
Pre
Police
Express
2
1
W
26.09.25
Pre
Police
Mbarara City
1
1
D
H2H at home: Police
19.05.26
H2H
Police
Entebbe UPPC
1
1
D
Last matches: Entebbe UPPC
12.05.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Vipers
0
3
L
16.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Buhimba Saints
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Lugazi
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
NEC
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Kitara
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Express
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
1
0
W
21.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
URA
1
0
W
03.12.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Mbarara City
1
1
D
27.11.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
BUL
2
0
W
07.11.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
Calvary
4
2
W
15.10.25
Pre
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
1
1
D
H2H away: Entebbe UPPC
19.05.26
H2H
Police
Entebbe UPPC
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League