UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Referee: D. Punchyshyn
Polessya
Match Timeline
Oleksandria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
59'
D. Vlasyuk ↔ N. Prokopenko
Oleksandria
🔄
65'
O. Andriyevski ↔ O. Fedor
Polessya
🔄
69'
L. Emerllahu ↔ O. Nazarenko
Polessya
🔄
69'
I. Krasnopir ↔ M. Gayduchyk
Polessya
71'
M. Gayduchyk
Polessya
🔄
77'
D. Vashchenko ↔ D. Myshnyov
Oleksandria
🔄
77'
T. Cara ↔ H. Touati
Oleksandria
🔄
77'
B. Castillo ↔ D. Kremchanin
Oleksandria
82'
P. Yade · Assist: S. Buletsa
Oleksandria
🔄
87'
G. Maisuradze ↔ M. Kravchenko
Polessya
🔄
87'
M. Bragaru ↔ O. Filippov
Polessya
🔄
88'
S. Buletsa ↔ D. Shostak
Oleksandria
90'
O. Filippov · Assist: O. Gutsulyak
Polessya

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 91.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
91.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Polessya Win 91.9%
Draw 0%
Oleksandria Win 8.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Polessya1.87
Oleksandria0.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Polessya Polessya
WWDLW
56 GF / 28 GA
Oleksandria Oleksandria
WLDWL
18 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
0.67
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
11
BTTS Yes
10
16
Over 2.5
12
3.72
Shots on Goal
1.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Polessya Polessya 32 matches
Oleksandria Oleksandria 27 matches
Polessya Statistic Oleksandria
18 Wins 2
4 Draws 7
10 Losses 18
56 Goals For 18
28 Goals Against 55
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
11 BTTS Yes 10
24 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 8
16 Clean Sheets 1
8 Failed To Score 16
3.72 Shots On Goal 1.4
10.21 Total Shots 4.08
3.76 Corners 1.92
38.3% Ball Possession 24.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Polessya's more proactive style and Oleksandria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oleksandria. Polessya arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 52 points compared to Oleksandria in 15 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Oleksandria arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Polessya Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 52 points from 26 games, Polessya bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 16 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:17, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Gayduchyk (8 goals), O. Gutsulyak (8 goals), Eduard Sarapiyy (5 goals), with creative support from O. Gutsulyak (5 assists), O. Nazarenko (2 assists), Oleksandr Andriyevskyi (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Oleksandria Analysis

With 13 points from 26 games and a place of 15, Oleksandria still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 18:52 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Tedi Cara (4 goals), Hussayn Touati (3 goals), Bryan Castillo (2 goals), with creative support from S. Buletsa (3 assists), Tedi Cara (2 assists), Hussayn Touati (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Polessya won 3 times, Oleksandria won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Polessya's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Polessya 4-1-4-1 / Oleksandria 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Polessya wins 3, draws 1, Oleksandria wins 3
Stats
Polessya Polessya
Oleksandria Oleksandria
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
0
0 Corner Kicks 0
0 Fouls 0
0 Offsides 0
0 Ball Possession 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Goal 0
0 Shots off Goal 0
0 Blocked Shots 0
0 Shots insidebox 0
0 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
0 Total passes 0
0 Passes accurate 0
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Polessya
Formation
Oleksandria
Y. Volynets
Y. Volynets
G. Maisuradze
G. Maisuradze
I. Krasniqi
I. Krasniqi
E. Sarapiy
E. Sarapiy
B. Mykhaylichenko
B. Mykhaylichenko
O. Andriyevski
O. Andriyevski
R. Babenko
R. Babenko
L. Emerllahu
L. Emerllahu
O. Gutsulyak
🎯
O. Gutsulyak
I. Krasnopir
I. Krasnopir
M. Bragaru
M. Bragaru
N. Makarenko
N. Makarenko
D. Skorko
D. Skorko
B. Butko
B. Butko
M. Ferreira
M. Ferreira
J. Behiratche
J. Behiratche
D. Vlasyuk
D. Vlasyuk
T. Cara
T. Cara
D. Vashchenko
D. Vashchenko
S. Buletsa
🎯
S. Buletsa
P. Yade
P. Yade
B. Castillo
B. Castillo
Polessya 4-3-3
Starting XI
23
Y. Volynets
G
31
G. Maisuradze
↓ 87'
D
16
I. Krasniqi
D
5
E. Sarapiy
D
15
B. Mykhaylichenko
D
18
O. Andriyevski
↓ 65'
M
8
R. Babenko
M
14
L. Emerllahu
↓ 69'
M
11
O. Gutsulyak
🎯 90'
M
95
I. Krasnopir
↓ 69'
F
45
M. Bragaru
↓ 87'
M
Substitutes
21
G. Bushchan
G
1
O. Kudryk
G
4
M. Kravchenko
↑ 87'
D
7
O. Nazarenko
↑ 69'
M
9
O. Filippov
⚽ 90' ↑ 87'
F
19
V. Shepelev
M
22
V. Veleten
M
27
O. Fedor
↑ 65'
M
29
B. Tomandzoto
M
30
B. Lednev
M
35
K. Koberniuk
D
89
M. Gayduchyk
⚽ 71' ↑ 69'
F
Oleksandria 5-4-1
Starting XI
72
N. Makarenko
G
22
D. Skorko
D
91
B. Butko
D
26
M. Ferreira
50
J. Behiratche
D
90
D. Vlasyuk
↓ 59'
D
27
T. Cara
↓ 77'
M
20
D. Vashchenko
↓ 77'
M
10
S. Buletsa
🎯 82' ↓ 88'
M
37
P. Yade
⚽ 82'
M
99
B. Castillo
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
1
V. Dolgyi
G
97
N. Prokopenko
↑ 59'
D
17
A. Andreichyk
D
79
D. Khmelovskyy
M
40
D. Chernysh
M
71
D. Shostak
↑ 88'
M
9
D. Myshnyov
↑ 77'
M
24
H. Touati
↑ 77'
M
67
M. Rodrigues
M
11
A. Shulyanskyi
M
77
D. Kremchanin
↑ 77'
F
Last matches: Polessya
23.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Plzen
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
10.07.26
Fri
Polessya
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
09.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Wörgl
11
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Sabah FA
4
1
W
29.06.26
Fri
Polessya
Universitatea Craiova
3
4
L
24.06.26
Fri
Polessya
CSKA Sofia
4
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
3
L
03.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
20.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Polessya
SK Poltava
4
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Veres Rivne
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kudrivka
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kryvbas KR
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Dynamo Kyiv
1
2
L
Last matches: Oleksandria
18.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
1
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Inhulets
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Chornomorets
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
5
2
W
09.06.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Livyi Bereh
0
1
L
05.06.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Livyi Bereh
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Ruh Lviv
3
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
3
L
27.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Veres Rivne
0
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Karpaty
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
3
3
D
19.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Dynamo Kyiv
0
5
L
14.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Rustavi
1
0
W
H2H: Polessya vs Oleksandria
08.05.26
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
2
1
W
09.11.25
H2H
Oleksandria
Polessya
0
3
W
04.05.25
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
1
2
L
03.11.24
H2H
Oleksandria
Polessya
1
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
1
2
L
02.11.23
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
0
0
D
26.08.23
H2H
Oleksandria
Polessya
0
3
W
Last matches: Polessya
23.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
09.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Sabah FA
4
1
W
24.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Veres Rivne
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kryvbas KR
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Dynamo Kyiv
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Halmstad
2
2
D
03.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Europa
6
0
W
27.01.26
Fri
Polessya
Stromsgodset
2
1
W
27.01.26
Fri
Polessya
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Polessya
Derry City
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Polessya
Karpaty
3
2
W
30.11.25
Pre
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
2
0
W
23.11.25
Pre
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
0
D
03.11.25
Pre
Polessya
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
0
D
18.10.25
Pre
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
04.10.25
Pre
Polessya
SK Poltava
4
0
W
H2H at home: Polessya
08.05.26
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
2
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
1
2
L
09.03.24
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
1
2
L
02.11.23
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
0
0
D
Last matches: Oleksandria
18.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
1
2
L
09.06.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Livyi Bereh
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Ruh Lviv
3
1
W
27.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Karpaty
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
3
3
D
14.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
1
L
07.12.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
0
3
L
24.11.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Zorya Luhansk
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Veres Rivne
1
1
D
22.09.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Dynamo Kyiv
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
L
10.08.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Obolon'-Brovar
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Kudrivka
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Oleksandria
FK Partizan
0
4
L
H2H away: Oleksandria
08.05.26
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
2
1
L
04.05.25
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
1
2
W
09.03.24
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
1
2
W
02.11.23
H2H
Polessya
Oleksandria
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga