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UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
18.09.2026 12:30
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Referee: O. Omelchenko
Polessya
Match Timeline
Kryvbas KR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
I. Krasnopir
Polessya
🔄
46'
Y. Rivas ↔ O. Kamenskyi
Kryvbas KR
🔄
46'
A. Seck ↔ B. Lin
Kryvbas KR
🟨
49'
Denys Pidgurskyi
Kryvbas KR
🔄
56'
V. Veleten ↔ Leandro Andrade
Polessya
🔄
56'
O. Fedor ↔ M. Bragaru
Polessya
🔄
62'
V. Mulyk ↔ S. Satchwell
Kryvbas KR
🔄
63'
L. Emerllahu ↔ I. Krasniqi
Polessya
🔄
63'
I. Krasnopir ↔ M. Gayduchyk
Polessya
🔄
80'
Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych ↔ D. Godya
Kryvbas KR
🔄
86'
O. Nazarenko ↔ V. Shepelev
Polessya
🔄
86'
G. Herbert ↔ S. Cuiza
Kryvbas KR

Polessya vs Kryvbas KR Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Polessya Win 67.8%
Draw 5.4%
Kryvbas KR Win 26.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Polessya2.37
Kryvbas KR1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Polessya Polessya
WWDLW
68 GF / 32 GA
Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR
WLDWL
22 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2.62
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
2
17
BTTS Yes
13
19
Over 2.5
12
1.83
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Polessya Polessya 26 matches
Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 16 matches
Polessya Statistic Kryvbas KR
15 Wins 3
5 Draws 5
6 Losses 8
68 Goals For 22
32 Goals Against 32
2.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 2
17 BTTS Yes 13
23 Over 1.5 14
19 Over 2.5 12
12 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
1.83 Shots On Goal 0
7.67 Total Shots 0
2.67 Corners 0
20% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Polessya's more proactive style and Kryvbas KR's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Polessya arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 12 points compared to Kryvbas KR in 10 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kryvbas KR. Polessya come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Polessya Analysis

Polessya approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 12 points after 5 outings. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:5, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Kryvbas KR Analysis

Kryvbas KR sit 10 with 5 points after 5 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Polessya won 4 times, Kryvbas KR won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Polessya's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Polessya 4-1-4-1 / Kryvbas KR 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Polessya wins 4, draws 2, Kryvbas KR wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:4 14 21
W W W W L
2 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
D W W W W
3 7 5 1 1 10:5 5 16
W W W D L
4 7 5 0 2 14:5 9 15
W W W W L
5 8 4 2 2 15:6 9 14
L D W L D
6 8 3 2 3 10:12 -2 11
W L D D L
7 8 3 2 3 7:9 -2 11
W L W D L
8 8 2 3 3 6:9 -3 9
L W D D W
9 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W W L D D
10 8 1 5 2 6:8 -2 8
D L D D W
11 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L L D W
12 7 1 4 2 5:6 -1 7
L W L D D
13 7 1 2 4 4:9 -5 5
L D L D W
14 6 1 2 3 7:10 -3 5
L D L D
15 7 0 4 3 2:12 -10 4
D L L D
16 8 0 2 6 6:20 -14 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga