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02.10.2026 18:45
National Stadium Warsaw
Referee: Urs Schnyder, Switzerland
Poland
Match Timeline
Romania
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
22'
Radu Drăguşin
Romania
⚽
24'
Robert Lewandowski
Poland
🔄
27'
Valentin Mihăilă ↔ Andrei Coubiș
Romania
🟨
35'
Virgil Ghiță
Romania
🟨
39'
Tudor Băluță
Romania
🟨
42'
Robert Lewandowski
Poland
⚽
47'
Robert Lewandowski · Assist: Nicola Zalewski
Poland
⚽
49'
Virgil Ghiță
Poland
🟨
57'
Karol Świderski
Poland
⚽
62'
Piotr Zieliński
Poland
🔄
63'
Matty Cash ↔ Norbert Wojtuszek
Poland
🔄
63'
Wiktor Nowak ↔ Kacper Urbański
Poland
⚽
66'
Jan Bednarek · Assist: Sebastian Szymański
Poland
🔄
67'
Ianis Hagi ↔ Marius Marin
Romania
🔄
67'
Nicușor Bancu ↔ Andrei Borza
Romania
🔄
67'
Dennis Man ↔ Bogdan Racovițan
Romania
🔄
71'
Sebastian Szymański ↔ Marcel Reguła
Poland
🔄
71'
Piotr Zieliński ↔ Bartosz Slisz
Poland
🟨
73'
Andrei Borza
Romania
🔄
78'
Nicola Zalewski ↔ Oskar Pietuszewski
Poland
🔄
78'
Răzvan Marin ↔ Cătălin Cîrjan
Romania
⚽
86'
Robert Lewandowski · Assist: Oskar Pietuszewski
Poland

Poland vs Romania Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Poland Win 66.3%
Draw 16%
Romania Win 17.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Poland1.25
Romania1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Poland Poland
WWDLW
3 GF / 7 GA
Romania Romania
WLDWL
6 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
3
4.75
Shots on Goal
2.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Poland Poland 4 matches
Romania Romania 5 matches
Poland Statistic Romania
0 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 3
3 Goals For 6
7 Goals Against 10
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
4.75 Shots On Goal 2.4
11 Total Shots 9
3 Corners 2.8
36.5% Ball Possession 27.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Poland won 2 times, Romania won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from Poland's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84%)
Predicted formations: Poland 4-2-3-1 / Romania 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Poland wins 2, draws 0, Romania wins 0

Standings

League B - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:3 4 10
W D W W
2 4 2 2 0 6:3 3 8
W D W D
3 4 1 1 2 7:4 3 4
L W L D
4 4 0 0 4 3:13 -10 0
L L L L
Promotion
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