POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Referee: P. Raczkowski
Pogon Szczecin
Match Timeline
Wisla Plock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Nemanja Mijušković
Wisla Plock
🟨
45+4'
Rafał Leszczyński
Wisla Plock
45'
F. Cuic
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
55'
L. Wahlqvist ↔ D. Keramitsis
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
58'
D. Kun ↔ D. Pacheco
Wisla Plock
🔄
58'
D. Juric ↔ L. Sekulski
Wisla Plock
🔄
59'
F. Hiszpanski ↔ Q. Lecoeuche
Wisla Plock
🔄
64'
N. Lawa ↔ J. Czaplinski
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
73'
T. Tavares ↔ M. Djalo
Wisla Plock
75'
F. Cuic
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
82'
M. Agger ↔ L. Koutris
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
82'
D. Loncar ↔ H. Ali
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
82'
P. Mukairu ↔ B. Mendy
Pogon Szczecin
🟨
85'
Hussein Ali
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
86'
N. Mijuskovic ↔ K. Custovic
Wisla Plock
90'
H. Ali · Assist: J. Czaplinski
Pogon Szczecin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pogon Szczecin Win 35.8%
Draw 10.8%
Wisla Plock Win 53.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pogon Szczecin1.17
Wisla Plock1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
WWDLW
40 GF / 45 GA
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
WLDWL
32 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
18
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
9
4.53
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 30 matches
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 30 matches
Pogon Szczecin Statistic Wisla Plock
11 Wins 12
5 Draws 9
14 Losses 9
40 Goals For 32
45 Goals Against 28
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
18 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 10
4.53 Shots On Goal 3.6
14.83 Total Shots 11.73
5.2 Corners 3.93
51.9% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Wisla Plock's more proactive style and Pogon Szczecin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pogon Szczecin expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Wisla Plock in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wisla Plock having the stronger overall control. Pogon Szczecin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Wisla Plock carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 45 points while Pogon Szczecin sit 14 on 38, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Wisla Plock.

Pogon Szczecin Analysis

Pogon Szczecin sit 14 with 38 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats with a 40:45 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Paul Mukairu (8 goals), K. Grosicki (6 goals), F. Ulvestad (5 goals), with creative support from K. Grosicki (5 assists), F. Ulvestad (3 assists), Sam Greenwood (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wisla Plock Analysis

Wisla Plock come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 45 points after 30 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, with a 32:28 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on L. Sekulski (8 goals), Deni Jurić (5 goals), Wiktor Nowak (4 goals), with creative support from D. Kun (4 assists), Dani Pacheco (3 assists), J. Jimenez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Pogon Szczecin won 6 times, Wisla Plock won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from Pogon Szczecin's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2 / Wisla Plock 3-5-2
H2H summary: Pogon Szczecin wins 6, draws 3, Wisla Plock wins 4
Stats
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 9
10 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
339 Total passes 319
271 Passes accurate 245
1.91 expected_goals 0.62
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Pogon Szczecin
Formation
Wisla Plock
V. Cojocaru
V. Cojocaru
L. Wahlqvist
L. Wahlqvist
D. Loncar
D. Loncar
A. Szalai
A. Szalai
Leo Borges
Leo Borges
M. Agger
M. Agger
F. Ulvestad
F. Ulvestad
K. Acosta
K. Acosta
P. Mukairu
P. Mukairu
F. Cuic
⚽ 2
F. Cuic
N. Lawa
N. Lawa
R. Leszczynski
R. Leszczynski
M. Haglind-Sangre
M. Haglind-Sangre
M. Kaminski
M. Kaminski
N. Mijuskovic
N. Mijuskovic
F. Hiszpanski
F. Hiszpanski
D. Kun
D. Kun
T. Tavares
T. Tavares
W. Nowak
W. Nowak
D. Gallapeni
D. Gallapeni
G. Niarchos
G. Niarchos
D. Juric
D. Juric
Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2
Starting XI
77
V. Cojocaru
G
28
L. Wahlqvist
↓ 55'
D
22
D. Loncar
↓ 82'
D
41
A. Szalai
D
4
Leo Borges
D
25
M. Agger
↓ 82'
M
8
F. Ulvestad
M
3
K. Acosta
M
18
P. Mukairu
↓ 82'
M
10
F. Cuic
⚽ 45' ⚽ 75'
F
47
N. Lawa
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
31
K. Kaminski
G
24
K. Angielski
F
32
L. Koutris
↑ 82'
D
6
J. Bieganski
M
15
H. Ali
⚽ 90' ↑ 82' 🟨 85'
D
61
K. Smolinski
M
90
S. Greenwood
F
13
D. Keramitsis
↑ 55'
D
23
B. Mendy
↑ 82'
D
19
M. Ndiaye
M
20
I. Brzyski
M
30
J. Czaplinski
🎯 90' ↑ 64'
M
Wisla Plock 3-5-2
Starting XI
12
R. Leszczynski
🟨 45+4'
G
4
M. Haglind-Sangre
D
35
M. Kaminski
D
25
N. Mijuskovic
↓ 86' 🟨 12'
D
16
F. Hiszpanski
↓ 59'
M
14
D. Kun
↓ 58'
M
84
T. Tavares
↓ 73'
M
30
W. Nowak
M
19
D. Gallapeni
M
9
G. Niarchos
F
99
D. Juric
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
26
J. Burek
G
8
D. Pacheco
↑ 58'
M
20
L. Sekulski
↑ 58'
F
13
Q. Lecoeuche
↑ 59'
D
18
D. Sarapata
M
37
M. Bokhno
D
27
B. Borowski
F
6
K. Pomorski
M
2
K. Custovic
↑ 86'
M
17
M. Djalo
↑ 73'
M
76
M. Lesniewski
M
Last matches: Pogon Szczecin
15.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Fenerbahçe
0
4
L
08.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Chrobry Głogów
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
BFC Dynamo
3
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
15.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
09.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
2
3
L
25.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
13.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Piast Gliwice
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
0
2
L
21.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
1
2
L
16.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
08.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
L
28.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
21.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
1
0
W
08.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Nieciecza
1
1
D
01.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin
1
2
L
Last matches: Wisla Plock
22.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Pelikan Łowicz
3
2
W
17.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
ŁKS Łódź
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Bohemians 1905
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Baník Ostrava
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Polonia Warszawa
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze
0
1
L
10.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin
0
4
L
26.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Radomiak Radom
0
1
L
19.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Nieciecza
3
1
W
10.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lechia Gdansk
1
0
W
04.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Cracovia Krakow
2
1
W
09.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
0
3
L
02.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
21.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Legia Warszawa
1
2
L
14.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
09.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
H2H: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock
03.05.26
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
3
0
W
03.11.25
H2H
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
L
26.02.23
H2H
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
W
13.08.22
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.04.22
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
17.10.21
H2H
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
L
10.04.21
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
2
0
W
02.12.20
H2H
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
0
0
D
20.11.20
H2H
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
D
09.02.20
H2H
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
2
3
W
26.08.19
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
15.03.19
H2H
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
0
2
W
06.10.18
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
4
0
W
Last matches: Pogon Szczecin
08.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Chrobry Głogów
2
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
06.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
0
2
L
16.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
28.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
1
0
W
08.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Nieciecza
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Turan
3
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Świt Skolwin
3
1
W
06.12.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Radomiak Radom
2
2
D
24.11.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
5
1
W
09.11.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
1
2
L
25.10.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow
2
1
W
03.10.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Piast Gliwice
2
1
W
21.09.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
3
4
L
31.08.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
2
0
W
17.08.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
0
3
L
26.07.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin
4
1
W
H2H at home: Pogon Szczecin
03.05.26
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
3
0
W
13.08.22
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.04.22
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
10.04.21
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
2
0
W
26.08.19
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
06.10.18
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
4
0
W
Last matches: Wisla Plock
23.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
19.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Nieciecza
3
1
W
04.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Cracovia Krakow
2
1
W
02.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
21.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Legia Warszawa
1
2
L
09.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
08.12.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
21.11.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
08.11.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
27.10.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
03.10.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lechia Gdansk
1
1
D
29.08.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
0
1
L
09.08.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
27.07.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
H2H away: Wisla Plock
03.05.26
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
3
0
L
13.08.22
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
08.04.22
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
1
2
W
10.04.21
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
2
0
L
26.08.19
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
1
2
W
06.10.18
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
4
0
L

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation