POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
13.09.2026 12:45
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Pogon Szczecin vs Wieczysta Kraków Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds 2.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
2.07
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.63
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.8%
1.30
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Pogon Szczecin Win 63.7%
Draw 9.6%
Wieczysta Kraków Win 26.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pogon Szczecin1.46
Wieczysta Kraków1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
WWDLW
19 GF / 16 GA
Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków
WLDWL
33 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
6
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
11
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 14 matches
Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 18 matches
Pogon Szczecin Statistic Wieczysta Kraków
6 Wins 6
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 7
19 Goals For 33
16 Goals Against 29
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
6 BTTS Yes 13
10 Over 1.5 17
7 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.5
13.17 Total Shots 14.67
3.67 Corners 5
43.5% Ball Possession 56.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Pogon Szczecin's more proactive style and Wieczysta Kraków's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Wieczysta Kraków. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pogon Szczecin expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Wieczysta Kraków in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wieczysta Kraków having the stronger overall control. Pogon Szczecin arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 8 points compared to Wieczysta Kraków in 17 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Wieczysta Kraków arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Pogon Szczecin Analysis

Pogon Szczecin sit 9 with 8 points after 5 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 7:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Mukairu (1 goals), Léo Borges (1 goals), Linus Wahlqvist (1 goals), with creative support from P. Mukairu (1 assists), M. Wojciechowski (1 assists), B. Mendy (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Wieczysta Kraków Analysis

With 3 points from 5 games and a place of 17, Wieczysta Kraków still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Lucas Piazón (1 goals), Lisandro Semedo (1 goals), Mateusz Wieteska (1 goals), with creative support from Kamil Dankowski (1 assists), Miguel Villar Miki (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Pogon Szczecin 4-1-4-1 / Wieczysta Kraków 4-3-3

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 11:4 7 16
W W W W W
2 7 4 3 0 15:6 9 15
W D D W D
3 6 5 0 1 12:7 5 15
W W L W W
4 8 4 2 2 15:11 4 14
W D W D L
5 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
L W L W L
6 7 3 1 3 13:13 0 10
W W D L L
7 6 3 0 3 12:9 3 9
L W W L W
8 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D D D W W
9 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W D W D
10 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D D D W L
11 7 2 2 3 6:8 -2 8
L L W W D
12 7 2 2 3 6:13 -7 8
D W D L L
13 7 1 4 2 10:10 0 7
D L D L W
14 7 1 3 3 9:11 -2 6
L D D L D
15 8 1 2 5 9:15 -6 5
L L L D W
16 6 1 2 3 4:11 -7 5
D L L L D
17 6 1 1 4 9:13 -4 4
D L L W L
18 7 1 0 6 8:15 -7 3
W L L L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation