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20.11.2026 19:30
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Pogon Szczecin vs Slask Wroclaw Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Pogon Szczecin Win 66.9%
Draw 18%
Slask Wroclaw Win 15.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pogon Szczecin1.56
Slask Wroclaw1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
W L L W W
9 GF / 11 GA
Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw
D L W L L
6 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
11
BTTS Yes
17
12
Over 2.5
19
3.79
Shots on Goal
3.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 23 matches
Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 24 matches
Pogon Szczecin Statistic Slask Wroclaw
12 Wins 7
5 Draws 7
6 Losses 10
35 Goals For 43
29 Goals Against 39
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
11 BTTS Yes 17
18 Over 1.5 21
12 Over 2.5 19
8 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 4
3.79 Shots On Goal 3.57
11.36 Total Shots 11.5
3.36 Corners 4.14
40.4% Ball Possession 45.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Pogon Szczecin's more proactive style and Slask Wroclaw's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pogon Szczecin expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Slask Wroclaw in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Slask Wroclaw having the stronger overall control. Slask Wroclaw arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Slask Wroclaw. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Pogon Szczecin arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 24 points compared to Slask Wroclaw in 17 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Pogon Szczecin Analysis

Pogon Szczecin approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 24 points after 13 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 20:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on D. Churlinov (3 goals), P. Mukairu (2 goals), K. Grosicki (2 goals), with creative support from P. Mukairu (4 assists), P. Dziczek (2 assists), M. Wojciechowski (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Slask Wroclaw Analysis

Slask Wroclaw sit 17 with 10 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 17:25, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through P. Banaszak (5 goals), P. Samiec-Talar (3 goals), M. Dembélé (3 goals), with creative support from P. Samiec-Talar (7 assists), M. Dembélé (1 assists), E. Shabani (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pogon Szczecin won 5 times, Slask Wroclaw won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Pogon Szczecin's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2 / Slask Wroclaw 5-3-2
H2H summary: Pogon Szczecin wins 5, draws 6, Slask Wroclaw wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 10 2 1 34:13 21 32
D W W W W
2 14 9 4 1 23:12 11 31
W D D D W
3 14 6 6 2 25:15 10 24
L D L D W
4 13 7 3 3 20:15 5 24
L L W W W
5 14 7 3 4 22:19 3 24
W L W D L
6 14 6 5 3 18:17 1 23
D W D W L
7 14 6 4 4 24:20 4 22
D D W D W
8 14 7 0 7 25:20 5 21
L W L L W
9 13 7 0 6 18:18 0 21
W W W L L
10 14 5 4 5 22:24 -2 19
W W D W W
11 14 5 3 6 14:21 -7 18
L L W L L
12 13 4 3 6 14:21 -7 15
L D L W L
13 14 2 8 4 20:19 1 14
W L D D L
14 14 4 2 8 17:29 -12 14
W W L L L
15 14 3 3 8 16:23 -7 12
L L L D W
16 14 4 0 10 23:31 -8 12
W W L W L
17 14 2 4 8 17:25 -8 10
D L W L L
18 14 2 2 10 18:28 -10 8
L L L L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation