POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Referee: D. Sylwestrzak
Pogon Szczecin
Match Timeline
GKS Katowice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
F. Cuic · Assist: D. Keramitsis
Pogon Szczecin
🟨
42'
Jan Biegański
Pogon Szczecin
🟨
45+2'
Rafał Strączek
GKS Katowice
🔄
46'
S. Milewski ↔ D. Rasak
GKS Katowice
🔄
46'
E. Markovic ↔ M. Wdowiak
GKS Katowice
🟨
51'
Benjamin Mendy
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
58'
B. Mendy ↔ L. Koutris
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
58'
J. Bieganski ↔ K. Acosta
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
58'
A. Zrelak ↔ I. Shkurin
GKS Katowice
🟨
61'
Alan Czerwiński
GKS Katowice
🔄
64'
S. Greenwood ↔ N. Lawa
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
65'
P. Mukairu ↔ K. Grosicki
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
66'
A. Czerwinski ↔ M. Wedrychowski
GKS Katowice
🔄
72'
L. Wahlqvist ↔ H. Ali
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
78'
M. Kowalczyk ↔ A. Blad
GKS Katowice
🟥
90+2'
Krzysztof Kamiński
Pogon Szczecin
VAR
90+2'
Krzysztof Kamiński
Pogon Szczecin
90'
M. Wedrychowski · Assist: B. Galan
GKS Katowice

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pogon Szczecin Win 63.3%
Draw 0%
GKS Katowice Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pogon Szczecin1.37
GKS Katowice1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
WWDLW
46 GF / 48 GA
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
WLDWL
50 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
19
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
17
4.58
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 33 matches
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 33 matches
Pogon Szczecin Statistic GKS Katowice
13 Wins 14
5 Draws 7
15 Losses 12
46 Goals For 50
48 Goals Against 44
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
19 BTTS Yes 16
27 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 9
4.58 Shots On Goal 4.88
14.64 Total Shots 12.88
5.06 Corners 4.7
52.2% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between GKS Katowice's more proactive style and Pogon Szczecin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring GKS Katowice. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pogon Szczecin expected to line up in 4-4-2 and GKS Katowice in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward GKS Katowice having the stronger overall control.

Pogon Szczecin Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Pogon Szczecin have collected 44 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 46:48 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Paul Mukairu (8 goals), K. Grosicki (6 goals), F. Ulvestad (5 goals), with creative support from K. Grosicki (5 assists), F. Ulvestad (3 assists), Sam Greenwood (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

GKS Katowice Analysis

GKS Katowice come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 49 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, while the 50:44 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Nowak (9 goals), E. Markovic (8 goals), Arkadiusz Jędrych (7 goals), with creative support from B. Nowak (12 assists), A. Czerwinski (5 assists), Marcin Wasielewski (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Pogon Szczecin won 1 times, GKS Katowice won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Pogon Szczecin's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2 / GKS Katowice 3-4-3
H2H summary: Pogon Szczecin wins 1, draws 1, GKS Katowice wins 2
Stats
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 2
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
358 Total passes 405
288 Passes accurate 331
1.00 expected_goals 0.87
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Pogon Szczecin
Formation
GKS Katowice
K. Kaminski
K. Kaminski
L. Wahlqvist
L. Wahlqvist
D. Keramitsis
🎯
D. Keramitsis
A. Szalai
A. Szalai
B. Mendy
B. Mendy
M. Agger
M. Agger
F. Ulvestad
F. Ulvestad
J. Bieganski
J. Bieganski
P. Mukairu
P. Mukairu
F. Cuic
F. Cuic
S. Greenwood
S. Greenwood
R. Straczek
R. Straczek
A. Czerwinski
A. Czerwinski
A. Jedrych
A. Jedrych
L. Klemenz
L. Klemenz
M. Wasielewski
M. Wasielewski
S. Milewski
S. Milewski
M. Kowalczyk
M. Kowalczyk
B. Galan
🎯
B. Galan
E. Markovic
E. Markovic
A. Zrelak
A. Zrelak
B. Nowak
B. Nowak
Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2
Starting XI
31
K. Kaminski
🟥 90+2'
G
28
L. Wahlqvist
↓ 72'
D
13
D. Keramitsis
🎯 31'
D
41
A. Szalai
D
23
B. Mendy
↓ 58' 🟨 51'
D
25
M. Agger
M
8
F. Ulvestad
M
6
J. Bieganski
↓ 58' 🟨 42'
M
18
P. Mukairu
↓ 65'
M
10
F. Cuic
⚽ 31'
F
90
S. Greenwood
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
33
A. Peskovic
G
11
K. Grosicki
↑ 65'
M
24
K. Angielski
F
32
L. Koutris
↑ 58'
D
15
H. Ali
↑ 72'
D
61
K. Smolinski
M
4
Leo Borges
D
3
K. Acosta
↑ 58'
M
20
I. Brzyski
M
30
J. Czaplinski
M
47
N. Lawa
↑ 64'
M
GKS Katowice 3-4-3
Starting XI
12
R. Straczek
🟨 45+2'
G
30
A. Czerwinski
↓ 66' 🟨 61'
D
4
A. Jedrych
D
6
L. Klemenz
D
23
M. Wasielewski
M
22
S. Milewski
↓ 46'
M
77
M. Kowalczyk
↓ 78'
M
8
B. Galan
🎯 90'
M
15
E. Markovic
↓ 46'
F
99
A. Zrelak
↓ 58'
F
27
B. Nowak
F
Substitutes
1
D. Kudla
G
10
M. Wedrychowski
⚽ 90' ↑ 66'
M
11
A. Blad
↑ 78'
M
26
D. Rasak
↑ 46'
M
97
E. Jirka
M
70
M. Wdowiak
↑ 46'
M
80
I. Shkurin
↑ 58'
F
14
M. Olsen
19
K. Lukasiak
M
Last matches: Pogon Szczecin
15.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Fenerbahçe
0
4
L
08.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Chrobry Głogów
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
BFC Dynamo
3
0
W
15.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
09.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
2
3
L
03.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
3
0
W
25.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
13.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Piast Gliwice
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
0
2
L
21.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
1
2
L
16.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
08.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
L
28.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
21.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
1
0
W
08.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Nieciecza
1
1
D
01.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin
1
2
L
Last matches: GKS Katowice
23.07.26
UEF
GKS Katowice
Žilina
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Stal Rzeszów
3
1
W
01.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Miedz Legnica
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
28.06.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
2
0
W
25.06.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Świt Skolwin
7
0
W
17.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
10.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Piast Gliwice
0
0
D
03.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
5
1
W
25.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
17.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Motor Lublin
3
2
W
12.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Lech Poznan
3
3
D
04.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
21.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
17.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
1
2
L
14.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
W
08.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Radomiak Radom
1
0
W
28.02.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
3
1
W
22.02.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
1
2
L
H2H: Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice
23.05.26
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
29.11.25
H2H
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
L
06.04.25
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
4
0
W
27.09.24
H2H
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
3
1
L
Last matches: Pogon Szczecin
08.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Chrobry Głogów
2
1
W
03.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
3
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
06.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
0
2
L
16.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
28.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
1
0
W
08.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Nieciecza
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Turan
3
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Świt Skolwin
3
1
W
06.12.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Radomiak Radom
2
2
D
24.11.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
5
1
W
09.11.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
1
2
L
25.10.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow
2
1
W
03.10.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Piast Gliwice
2
1
W
21.09.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
3
4
L
31.08.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
2
0
W
17.08.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
0
3
L
26.07.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin
4
1
W
H2H at home: Pogon Szczecin
23.05.26
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
4
0
W
Last matches: GKS Katowice
23.07.26
UEF
GKS Katowice
Žilina
1
2
L
10.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Piast Gliwice
0
0
D
25.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Lech Poznan
3
3
D
21.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
17.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
1
2
L
08.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Radomiak Radom
1
0
W
22.02.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
1
2
L
30.01.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Zaglebie Lubin
2
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
FK Jablonec
0
3
L
07.12.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Raków Częstochowa
0
1
L
31.10.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
3
0
W
17.10.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Motor Lublin
5
2
W
26.09.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Wisla Plock
1
1
D
12.09.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Lechia Gdansk
0
2
L
23.08.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
0
3
L
10.08.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
02.08.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Widzew Łódź
0
3
L
H2H away: GKS Katowice
23.05.26
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
4
0
L

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation