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24.10.2026 22:00
Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi

Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.56
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 2.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.16
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.6%
1.56 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
2.08 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.16 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Plaza Colonia Win 62.6%
Draw 8.9%
Tacuarembo Win 28.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Plaza Colonia1.27
Tacuarembo0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
W D L D D
5 GF / 6 GA
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
L L L D D
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
0.76
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
14
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 29 matches
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo 29 matches
Plaza Colonia Statistic Tacuarembo
13 Wins 6
9 Draws 9
7 Losses 14
38 Goals For 22
25 Goals Against 35
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
14 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Plaza Colonia's more proactive style and Tacuarembo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tacuarembo. Plaza Colonia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 12 points compared to Tacuarembo in 14 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Tacuarembo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tacuarembo having the stronger overall control.

Plaza Colonia Analysis

Plaza Colonia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 12 points after 6 outings. With 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:2, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Tacuarembo Analysis

Tacuarembo sit 14 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Plaza Colonia won 5 times, Tacuarembo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:0 from Plaza Colonia's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
H2H summary: Plaza Colonia wins 5, draws 0, Tacuarembo wins 0

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D