URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds 2.04
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 2.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.5%
2.04
BTTS Yes
78.8%
2.16
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.66
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Plaza Colonia Win 59.5%
Draw 4.8%
Colón Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Plaza Colonia1.31
Colón1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
WWDLW
29 GF / 15 GA
Colón Colón
WLDWL
24 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
8
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 20 matches
Colón Colón 20 matches
Plaza Colonia Statistic Colón
10 Wins 8
5 Draws 6
5 Losses 6
29 Goals For 24
15 Goals Against 22
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
8 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Colón. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colón having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Plaza Colonia Analysis

Plaza Colonia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 12 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a 9:2 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Colón Analysis

Colón arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 9 points after 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Plaza Colonia won 2 times, Colón won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Plaza Colonia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Plaza Colonia wins 2, draws 1, Colón wins 2
Last matches: Plaza Colonia
16.08.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
4
1
W
10.08.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Rentistas
1
1
D
01.08.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
3
0
W
25.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
11.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
2
3
L
04.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
La Luz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Cerrito
0
1
L
20.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Atenas
1
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
2
1
W
05.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Sportivo Huracan
0
0
D
30.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
22.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
3
1
W
16.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
0
W
09.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
2
0
W
17.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
3
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
0
W
14.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Rentistas
0
0
D
Last matches: Colón
16.08.26
Seg
Colón
La Luz
2
1
W
08.08.26
Seg
Colón
Cerrito
1
0
W
03.08.26
Seg
Colón
Atenas
1
4
L
25.07.26
Seg
Colón
Paysandu
2
3
L
11.07.26
Seg
Colón
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
05.07.26
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
1
1
D
20.06.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
2
1
W
13.06.26
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
1
D
07.06.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
2
0
W
30.05.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
1
3
L
24.05.26
Seg
Colón
Tacuarembo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
09.05.26
Seg
Colón
La Luz
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
4
2
W
04.04.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
1
2
L
23.03.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
0
D
13.03.26
Seg
Colón
Paysandu
2
0
W
H2H: Plaza Colonia vs Colón
16.05.26
H2H
Colón
Plaza Colonia
0
1
W
04.04.26
H2H
Colón
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Colón
0
2
L
23.06.24
H2H
Colón
Plaza Colonia
2
1
L
27.04.24
H2H
Colón
Plaza Colonia
0
1
W
Last matches: Plaza Colonia
01.08.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
3
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
La Luz
1
0
W
20.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Atenas
1
2
L
05.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Sportivo Huracan
0
0
D
22.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
3
1
W
09.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
2
0
W
17.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
3
0
W
03.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
20.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
10.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Progreso
0
1
L
28.09.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
1
1
D
14.09.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Club Nacional
1
2
L
31.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Atletico Torque
2
4
L
17.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Cerro
0
2
L
03.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
1
3
L
10.11.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Cerrito
1
0
W
19.10.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
05.10.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
0
2
L
H2H at home: Plaza Colonia
05.10.24
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Colón
0
2
L
Last matches: Colón
03.08.26
Seg
Colón
Atenas
1
4
L
11.07.26
Seg
Colón
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
1
1
D
07.06.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
2
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Colón
Tacuarembo
0
2
L
09.05.26
Seg
Colón
La Luz
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
0
0
D
23.03.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
0
D
13.03.26
Seg
Colón
Paysandu
2
0
W
08.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
18.10.25
Seg
Colón
Artigas
0
2
L
11.10.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
2
0
W
27.09.25
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
15.09.25
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
0
W
30.08.25
Seg
Colón
Atenas
1
1
D
20.08.25
Seg
Colón
Tacuarembo
2
2
D
10.08.25
Seg
Colón
La Luz
1
0
W
02.08.25
Seg
Colón
Cerrito
2
1
W
13.07.25
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
1
L
29.06.25
Seg
Colón
Albion FC
2
0
W
H2H away: Colón
05.10.24
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Colón
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.04
Draw 2.94
Away 3.82
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.53
Under 1.5 2.37
Over 1.75 1.70
Under 1.75 2.09
Over 2.0 2.02
Under 2.0 1.79
Over 2.25 2.35
Under 2.25 1.56
Over 2.5 2.66
Under 2.5 1.43
Over 2.75 3.24
Under 2.75 1.30
Over 1.25 1.35
Under 1.25 3.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.91
Draw 3.10
Away 3.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.62
Draw 1.95
Away 4.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.53
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.03
Draw 2.90
Away 3.79
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.76
Draw 1.83
Away 4.96
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.43
Draw 2.13
Away 4.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.49
Under 1.5 2.30
Over 1.75 1.64
Under 1.75 2.02
Over 2.0 1.89
Under 2.0 1.74
Over 2.25 2.21
Under 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 2.55
Under 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 3.04
Under 2.75 1.29
Over 3.5 4.85
Under 3.5 1.11
Over 0.5 1.08
Under 0.5 6.10
Over 0.75 1.10
Under 0.75 5.18
Over 1.0 1.13
Under 1.0 4.60
Over 1.25 1.31
Under 1.25 2.92
Over 3.0 4.10
Under 3.0 1.16
Over 4.5 12.00
Under 4.5 1.04
Over 3.25 4.50
Under 3.25 1.13
Over 4.0 9.00
Under 4.0 1.01
Over 5.5 19.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.23
Draw 2.95
Away 3.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.90
Draw 1.97
Away 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.42
Under 1.5 2.50
Over 2.5 2.33
Under 2.5 1.49

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D