04.10.2026 19:00
Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi
Plaza Colonia
Match Timeline
Cerrito
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
J. Isasmendi
Cerrito
⚽
38'
L. Batista
Cerrito
⚽
67'
M. Lopez
Plaza Colonia
🟥
82'
J. Silva
Plaza Colonia
🟥
87'
S. Viera
Cerrito
🟥
87'
L. Carrizo
Plaza Colonia
⚽
90+4'
J. Isasmendi
Cerrito

Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.7%
Odds 2.12
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.87
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.24
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.7%
2.12 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.87 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.24 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Plaza Colonia Win 76.7%
Draw 5.5%
Cerrito Win 17.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Plaza Colonia1.26
Cerrito1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
WWDLW
34 GF / 20 GA
Cerrito Cerrito
WLDWL
32 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
11
BTTS Yes
15
8
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 26 matches
Cerrito Cerrito 26 matches
Plaza Colonia Statistic Cerrito
12 Wins 8
8 Draws 11
6 Losses 7
34 Goals For 32
20 Goals Against 31
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
11 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Plaza Colonia's more proactive style and Cerrito's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cerrito having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cerrito. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Plaza Colonia Analysis

Plaza Colonia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 12 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a 9:2 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Cerrito Analysis

Cerrito are currently 8 in the standings with 9 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Plaza Colonia won 2 times, Cerrito won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Plaza Colonia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Plaza Colonia wins 2, draws 0, Cerrito wins 3

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D