07.05.2026 22:00
Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez
Referee: Juan Gabriel Benitez, Paraguay
Platense
Match Timeline
Penarol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
E. Remedi ↔ D. Laxalt
Penarol
🟨
14'
Lucas Ferreira
Penarol
🔄
17'
T. Nasif ↔ A. Lotti
Platense
29'
F. Batista · Assist: D. Laxalt
Penarol
🟨
30'
Facundo Batista
Penarol
🟨
34'
Guido Mainero
Platense
🟨
34'
Mauricio Lemos
Penarol
39'
A. Lagos · Assist: F. Zapiola
Platense
🟨
41'
Franco Zapiola
Platense
🟨
45'
Maximiliano Olivera
Penarol
🔄
46'
F. Batista ↔ G. Togni
Penarol
🟨
59'
Nicolás Fernández
Penarol
🔄
76'
L. Umpierrez ↔ A. Hernandez
Penarol
🔄
77'
F. Zapiola ↔ I. Gomez
Platense
🔄
79'
↔ G. Lencina
Platense
🔄
80'
G. Mainero ↔ M. Mendia
Platense
🔄
87'
M. Amarfil ↔ M. Barrios
Platense
🔄
87'
K. Retamar ↔ J. Gauto
Platense
🟨
90+8'
Washington Aguerre
Penarol

Platense vs Penarol Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.3%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Platense Win 36.9%
Draw 0%
Penarol Win 63.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Platense0.9
Penarol1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Platense Platense
WWDLW
15 GF / 19 GA
Penarol Penarol
WLDWL
22 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.29
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
7
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
7
3.84
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Platense Platense 20 matches
Penarol Penarol 17 matches
Platense Statistic Penarol
6 Wins 7
7 Draws 4
7 Losses 6
15 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 19
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
7 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 4
11 Failed To Score 3
3.84 Shots On Goal 4.33
11.32 Total Shots 11.33
4.16 Corners 3
50.9% Ball Possession 39.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Platense won 1 times, Penarol won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Platense's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Platense 4-2-3-1 / Penarol 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Platense wins 1, draws 1, Penarol wins 0

Standings

Group E
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L D D W W
2 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
W L D W W
3 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
W W D L L
4 6 0 3 3 4:8 -4 3
L D D L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals