ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
03.05.2026 00:15
Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez
Referee: M. Ramirez
Platense
Match Timeline
Estudiantes L.P.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
59'
J. Sosa ↔ Gabriel Neves
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
59'
L. Piovi ↔ M. Amondarain
Estudiantes L.P.
🟨
62'
Victor Cuesta
Platense
🔄
66'
G. Lencina ↔ T. Nasif
Platense
70'
A. Castro · Assist: E. Cetre
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
74'
I. Gomez ↔ B. Merlini
Platense
🔄
74'
J. Gauto ↔ F. Zapiola
Platense
🔄
74'
A. Castro ↔ T. Palacios
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
74'
B. Aguirre ↔ Perez Fabricio
Estudiantes L.P.
78'
L. Alario · Assist: S. Nunez
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
80'
G. Mainero ↔ M. Tucker
Platense
🟨
81'
M. Amondarain
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
81'
K. Retamar ↔ L. Heredia
Platense
🔄
86'
E. Cetre ↔ J. Burgos
Estudiantes L.P.

Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Platense Win 17.2%
Draw 0%
Estudiantes L.P. Win 82.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Platense0.69
Estudiantes L.P.1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Platense Platense
WWDLW
15 GF / 17 GA
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
WLDWL
25 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.53
7
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
6
3.67
Shots on Goal
5.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Platense Platense 19 matches
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 19 matches
Platense Statistic Estudiantes L.P.
6 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
6 Losses 3
15 Goals For 25
17 Goals Against 10
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.53
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 6
3.67 Shots On Goal 5.06
10.89 Total Shots 13.89
4 Corners 4.5
50.8% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Platense have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Estudiantes L.P.. Estudiantes L.P. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 133 points while Platense sit 20 on 108, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Platense Analysis

Platense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 108 points from 88 matches. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Lotti (2 goals), F. Zapiola (2 goals), Ignacio Vazquez (2 goals), with creative support from K. Retamar (2 assists), T. Nasif (1 assists), J. Gauto (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Estudiantes L.P. Analysis

Estudiantes L.P. are currently 7 in the standings with 133 points from 88 matches. The record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats, together with a 0:0 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Gaich (3 goals), Fabricio Pérez (3 goals), A. Castro (2 goals), with creative support from B. Aguirre (2 assists), Gastón Benedetti (2 assists), J. Burgos (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Platense won 2 times, Estudiantes L.P. won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:12 from Platense's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Platense 4-2-3-1 / Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Platense wins 2, draws 3, Estudiantes L.P. wins 4

Standings

Clausura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 6:2 4 16
W D W W W
2 7 5 0 2 12:5 7 15
W W W L W
3 7 4 2 1 9:8 1 14
W W D W L
4 7 3 4 0 10:6 4 13
D D D D W
5 7 3 2 2 8:6 2 11
D W W L D
6 7 3 1 3 12:10 2 10
W W L L W
7 7 3 1 3 6:6 0 10
L D W L L
8 7 2 4 1 7:8 -1 10
W D D D W
9 7 2 2 3 7:6 1 8
D D L W L
10 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L W D W L
11 7 2 1 4 7:7 0 7
D L W L L
12 7 2 1 4 7:8 -1 7
L D L W L
13 7 2 1 4 4:7 -3 7
D L L W W
14 7 2 1 4 2:5 -3 7
L D W L L
15 7 1 2 4 8:12 -4 5
D D L L W
Knockout Phase